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Mon, 12/30/13 - 11:45 AM Bryan Leonard | CFB Side
double-dime bet 231 Middle Tenn. St. 7.0 (-110) William Hill vs 232 Navy
Results: L, -$220
Analysis: 231 Middle Tennessee State & Navy in Fort Worth
Now that the line has reached a full seven points it's time to step to the counter with the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee State dropped four games this year, all to superior competition. North Carolina, BYU, East Carolina and North Texas. They own a victory over Marshall as their statement win. The Blue Devils are being penalized by many for beating up on weak competition, but you can only play the teams on your schedule. This is an organization that has played in the post-season in 2009 and 2010 so Rick Stockstill and his crew are familiar with bowl game preparation. While facing the Navy option is always a special feat, this team does have plenty of time to prepare. In fact, the Blue Raiders had success last year against a very similar Georgia Teach team. A 49-28 victory although a plus two turnover advantage helped its cause.
Navy has been bowling five times since 2007. They own one postseason victory during that span. The last two years the Midshipmen lost by margins of 34 and 21 points. Navy enters play at 8-4 on the season but just one victory came against a team that is bowling this year. A 3 point home win over Pittsburgh is the best victory on the schedule for Ken Niumatalolo and his crew. Navy finished the year against the likes of Army, San Jose State, South Alabama and Hawaii, not exactly a murderers row. We just don't have the confidence that this team is good enough to lay points in the postseason, especially now that the line has hit that key touchdown number. 

Pick Made: Dec 30 2013 5:19AM PST
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