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Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM Dave Essler | NFL Side
double-dime bet 424 STL 11.5 (-110) 5Dimes vs 423 GBP
Results: W, $200
Analysis: Two team, six point (-110) teaser. Just taking the six points gets us above the numbers we want. Plus, if the Rams cover early, we have some hedge options available if we should so choose. Thanks as always for being with us.

St. Louis Rams +11.5 to Cincinnati Bengals +7.5

Sunday 11:40AM: I do suppose the line move indicates the Rams might well be winners. I won't add them as a stand-alone play because we already have marbles on this game, and with the line move in both this and the Bengals game I'd just as soon be conservative with our money. However, I am personally going to throw a unit on the Rams. And, of course if they cover the first half of the teaser, the option of hedging tonight's bet with the Steelers is even more viable since we were on the right side of that line move. As far as the Colts game, we certainly (at least long-term people) were on the wrong side of that move, and the wrong side of money. I have to think that unless Trent Richardson runs wild, the Colts still win this game. If I had a do-over today, I'd play the Colts ML. Also, I don't get the total coming down in the Houston-Baltimore game, and really don't see how that doesn't go over. Under the key # of 48 it's hard not to fire a marble on that one. We shall see, but I'm just passing on information. IF we get the early one(s) we could, for long term people, add a later game. Both those games are tough. I personally don't get how Oakland doesn't crush Jacksonville, but it (and the line move) looks too easy. As far as the Patriots game goes, it surely looks like "they" think New England wins handily, and as a fan I would appreciate not having drama, but I've seen too many Jets games and anything can and usually does happen. These are the games where onside kicks to start the game and fake punts in your own territory usually crop up, at least by the Jets. The surely know they cannot man-up and outscore New England, hence I also lean over a little. 
And yes I hate that it looks like the Browns will go off as the listed favorite. The sharps are not always right, but at the very least I totally misread which way this line would go. Good luck today and going forward, and thanks as always for your trust.


Pick Made: Oct 17 2012 4:20PM PST
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