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Mon, 10/01/12 - 8:35 PM Dave Essler | NFL Money Line
dime bet 232 DAL (-160) Bodog vs 231 CHI
Results: L, -$160
Analysis: I thought about teasing the Bears and the under, but the value is gone on the under. At 45 I'd have probably done that. The +3.5 on the Bears is disappearing mainly, IMO, because people are buying "the number", which is fine. But, perhaps people are trying to to out think the room here. The Bears haven't beaten anyone other than the Colts and could well have lost to the much improved Rams. At home I've got no choice but to go with the better coach (there is little doubt IMO that Garret is better than Smith) and although I am not a Romo fan, I do trust him more than Cutler, whether or not Forte plays. Because I am playing it small, and you guys know how I don't like MNF games unless I have a real strong opinion, I'll lay the -160. We lay those numbers (perhaps not that much) in baseball for six months. Again. we'll get over the rough weekend and get crackin' again. Losing your money hurts more than losing mine. I am personally playing with house money, but I recognize not everyone may be.



Pick Made: Oct 1 2012 2:21PM PST
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