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Sun, 09/23/12 - 1:00 PM Dave Essler | NFL Side
double-dime bet 412 MIA 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 411 NYJ
Results: T, 0
Analysis: This is a classic look-ahead spot for the Jets. Yes, it's a division game but they've got San Francisco at home next week. The Jets put up a lot of points against Buffalo, but that was their "new" offense. Against the Steelers even with Pittsburgh without two of their better defensive players they couldn't score. The Dolphins now have two weeks of film to look at regarding said new offense, and honestly the Dolphins defense is the strength of their team. They actually "held" Houston to 30 points at home, played so decent red zone defense, and played really well against the Raiders. 

The Jets and Miami always plays close and typically lower scoring games, and the Dolphins have won about five of their last six at home, while the Jets have lost about eight of their last ten road games. There's typically not been a huge homefield advantage for the Dolphins, but there's a bit of a buzz after beating Oakland and with Tannehill seemingly progressing faster than expected. If Miami can run at all on a somewhat hobbled Jets defense, they'll win this game SU. To me it does not matter whether Revis plays or not, because Miami doesn't have the big play WR for him to take out. The Dolphins will simply try to control field position, play good red zone defense (Sanchez has sucked in the red zone), and win the turnover battle, which at home I expect them to do.


Pick Made: Sep 17 2012 9:20AM PST
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