MLB ML: Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins

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Tue, 08/21/12 - 9:40 PM Dave Essler | MLB Money Line
dime bet 911 Mia (+150) Bookmaker.com vs 912 ARI: Results: W, $150
Analysis: I'd play this bigger and/or I'd play the RL, but I'm not foolish enough to know what Arizona COULD do and what Nolasco CAN do. He's been roughed up here and there, but the Fish are hitting right now and the D-backs went through some arms last night. I honestly believe that reality has set in with Arizona, now knowing they are probably done for the season. Yes, they're only a handful of game out of the Wild Card, but they've got a handful of teams to leapfrog, and being only two games over .500 is just not gonna be enough. Cahill at home hasn't been all that sharp at all, so at this price I will make the bet. I do think this goes over 9 runs and if it comes down from 9.5 may well play it. However, the reason I did NOT play the RL is BECAUSE it may well be a high scoring game, which means less value to the one run. So, in the end a play against Cahill at Chase and on the team that's hitting at the moment with the more rested bullpen.

Pick Made: Aug 21 2012 12:23PM PST
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