Results: L, -$300Analysis:
Beckett is an up-and-down type of
handicapper who can predict the ups and downs can reap rewards at
the betting window.
Beckett should be up here.
In Beckett's last start, he was knocked out
after five and a third by the Orioles and the Red Sox lost
7-1. Boston is 11-0
with Josh Beckett when he threw at least 50 pitches and faced fewer
than 25 batters in his last outing. In his two starts in this
spot this season, he beat the Rays 12-2 and the Mariners 2-0, going
eight and seven innings respectively.
The Yankees are off a 4-1 loss yesterday vs
Lester and they are a surprisingly terrible investment in this
spot. New York is 14-18
as a night favorite when they are off a loss in which they never
led, 8-20 at night after a loss in which their opponent left 18+
men on base and 4-10 at night in the last game of a home
series. They were
significant favorites in all these situations.
Boston is nothing short of inspired after a
wire-to-wire win. The
Red Sox are 34-12 when they are off a win in which they never
trailed and it is not the first game of a series -- including 12-3
as a DOG.
Finally, in Josh Beckett's CAREER he has only
been an underdog of more than 125 nine times - including when he
was with the Marlins.
His team won EVERY time. That is, Beckett has
produced a record of 9-0 in his career as a dog of more than
125. Four of the nine
wins were over the Yankees. The SDQL text is:
starter=Josh Beckett and line >125
In his last start in this spot, May 20th, he
beat the Phillies with Cliff Lee 5-1 in Philadelphia.
If Kuroda beats us 3-2, then we tip out hat to
him. Our money is on
the Red Sox at this price.
MTi's FORECAST: BOSTON 4 NY Yankees 3
Pick Made: Aug 19 2012 4:16AM PST