Results: W, $300Analysis: This one's got a million ways
to get to nine, and at nine it's a push so yes, if it does go there
I'd still play it. Most people will be thinking that the Angels
will just mash Humber, and they may well do that, but I don't think
so. That series in Texas took a tool physically because of the heat
and obvious emotionally because of last night's collapse. And of
course their bullpen was seriously used.
So, I think it's actually Chicago that scores here. They're in
first place, need to win (obviously) and had yesterday off. If you
look at the NL pitchers coming to the AL they tend to have a little
more difficult time because there's no DH hence no pitcher to pitch
around. I know Zach was in the AL before, but Zach has documented
emotional issues at times and when was the last time he pitched in
a game that actually mattered. Not very often. And at US Cellular,
when he was with the Royals, he had a 5.49 ERA and gave up 13 bombs
in about 59 innings, so Chicago will score here.
And even IF Humber has some good stuff, he is simply not going
to shutout even a tired Angels team. He's given up ten bombs in
only 37 innings at home this season, while walking 24 batters.
That's just not very good.
We give a huge edge to the White Sox bullpen, both from a
recent statistical standpoint as well as being quite rested. In the
end we actually see Chicago potentially winning this game, hence
the RL play, and our numbers have it at about 7-4 Pale Hose.
Pick Made: Aug 3 2012 5:29AM PST