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Mon, 07/02/12 - 10:10 PM Scott Spreitzer | MLB Total
Free pick 912 LOS / 911 CIN Over 7 5Dimes
Results: W, 0
Analysis: I'm playing the Over between the Reds & Dodgers on Monday. I released the Dodgers on these pages yesterday and we cashed in an 8-3 L.A. win. While Los Angeles has had a rough time at the plate since the Matt Kemp injury, I believe they're getting "just what the doctor ordered" for the second straight night. Homer Bailey is one of the few pitchers who has not enjoyed Chavez Ravine, having been tagged with a 6.52 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and .308 BAA in two starts. His overall numbers aren't too hot against the Dodgers either, including a 1.52 WHIP. Bailey has allowed a whopping 18 earned runs and 44 base runners in his last five starts overall, spanning 27 innings, for a 6.00 ERA & 1.63 WHIP. He's been somewhat of a slump-buster for teams like the Dodgers. The Reds are on a 16-3 Over run against teams with an OPS of .325 or lower, averaging a total of 11.3 rpg, combined. Chad Billingsley counters for the home team tonight. The righty owns an ERA of nearly 5.00 in nine starts against the Reds and the last four times he has faced Cinci, the teams combined for 9, 15, 13, and 20 runs, an average of 14.3 rpg...all four went Over the posted total. With Billingsley's current form, (last 3 starts), I believe Cincinnati will score their share of runs again. The Dodgers are 13-3-2 to the Over when Billingsley toes the home rubber and 7-0-1 to the Over when the opponent owns a winning record. Meanwhile, the Reds are 12-3-1 to the Over when Bailey starts on four days rest and 5-0 when he's installed as a road favorite. I'm playing the Over between the Reds & Dodgers on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.

NOTE: 
Scott Spreitzer ROCKED the sports books with a Sunday Sweep on the bases, including a Triple Dime Tapout win with the Twins and a Blockbuster win with the Dodgers! There are 3 late west coast games on Monday and one of those six sides is Scott's Triple Dime BAILOUT BLOWOUT! Scott's side is backed by two 100% winning spots! It's incredibly rare for Scott to find Triple Dime plays on back-to-back days...let's take full advantage! Grab it here, then KICK the books sideways on Monday night!

Pick Made: Jul 2 2012 1:56AM PST
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