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Tue, 05/15/12 - 9:45 PM King Creole | NBA Sides
triple-dime bet 506 SAN -11.0 (-110) 5Dimes vs 505 LAC
Results: W, $300
Analysis:
6:35pm PT - 9:35pm ET / #506 / Game One / Los Angeles Clippers @ San Antonio Spurs
3*** BEST BET on: SAN ANTONIO SPURS minus the points


The similarities between tonight's game and last night's Game One of the Lakers / Thunder series are remarkable. In BOTH cases, we have a tired ROAD team (Lakers + Clippers) that just went 7 games in their last series... and play with only ONE day of rest. And in BOTH cases, we have a well-rested HOME team that won their last series in a 4-game SWEEP (Thunder + Spurs). You saw what happened last night. So we'll elevate our play to Best Bet status in what should be a repeat of Monday's game.

This ALONE is worthy of steppin' out with a BIG play. The Spurs come in with 7 days of rest... while the Clips just played on Sunday (1 day of rest).
With last night's win on the THUNDER, we note that....
Since the 1994 season, NBA Playoff teams in a '7+/1' REST advantage (7+ days rest vs 1 day rest) have gone a PERFECT 7-0 ATS (SPURS).

The Clippers were big road dogs on Sunday... and SHOCKED the Grizzlies (and all of the betting world) by winning the game by double digits (82 to 72).
0-5 ATS since 1991: All Western Conference GAME ONE road teams (Clips) playing off a SU double-digit road DOG win.

As mentioned above, the Spurs easily dispatched the Utah Jazz in Round One... by SWEEPING all four games.
7-0 ATS since 2004: All Western Conference GAME ONE (in any round) home teams playing of a 4-game SWEEP in the previous round of the Playoffs.

Don't be hesitant to lay the BIG number (-11 to -11.5 pts) tonight. BIG favs have done very well in Game One action.
12-1 ATS since 1994: All NBA Playoff GAME ONE favorites of -11 or more points (Spurs).

The Spurs went 'UNDER the Total' in ALL four of their first-round games versus the Jazz.
9-1-1 ATS since 1999: All 2.1 (Rd 2 / Gm 1) home teams (SPURS) playing off 3 or more 'Unders' in a row.

Day of the Week ATS tendencies also helps our case...
8-0 ATS since 2006: All ROUND TWO Western Conference home teams (SPURS) playing on a TUESDAY.

We seal the deal with San Antonio's ATS tendencies in ALL Game Ones...
the SPURS are a PERFECT 9-0 ATS since 2002 as Playoff GAME ONE non-division favorites of > 4 points when playing off a SU win....

Pick Made: May 15 2012 8:27AM PST
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