NBA Total: Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers

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Tue, 04/17/12 - 7:05 PM King Creole | NBA Total
double-dime bet 502 PHI / 501 IND Under 184.0 Bookmaker.com: Results: L, -$220
Analysis:
4:05pm PT - 7:05pm ET / #502 / Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

Sharp OU players already know that this is historically a LOW-scoring series. The Pacers and Sixers have gone 3-14-1 O/U vs each other in the last 18 meetings dating back to the 2007 season. That includes 1-6 O/U when playing IN Philly. We ALSO know that BOTH teams played last night. And a review of individual team OU tendencies reveals that each team goes UNDER at a high percentage in 'no rest' situations.
The PACERS are 1-6 O/U in '0/0' REST situations this year (both teams playing with NO rest). In the last 3 seasons, the Pacers are 1-11 O/U when playing NON-division opponents in this same rest situation.
The SIXERS are 5-20-1 O/U as favorites in a '0/0' REST situation over the last 4 seasons.

So let's look at this season's OU tendencies for the entire league when both teams come in with no rest.
2-13-1 O/U this season: All non-division Conference home favs of < 6 pts (Philly) in a '0/0' REST situation. In the EASTERN CONFERENCE, these games have gone a PERFECT 0-7 O/U on the year!

Indiana beat up on the Minnesota T'Wolves last night. They laid -11.5 pts... and won by 23 pts (111-88).
1-7 O/U since Jan: All road underdogs playing off a SUATS win in a game in which they were favored by -11 or more pts (Pacers).

Meanwhile, the struggling Sixers lost their second STRAIGHT game in a row as a favorite (vs the Magic).
1-7 O/U since Feb: All Eastern Conference home favs (Sixers) playing off BB SU favorite losses in a row.

In yesterday's game, Phiily laid -6.5 pts on the road... and lost by double-digits.
0-11 O/U last 5 years: All Home favs with an OU line of > 177 pts (Sixers)... playing off a SU double digit non-division road loss in a game in which they were a fav of -6 > pts.

Both teams come in with WINNING (> .500) records on the year.
0-7 O/U last 2 months: All > .500 Eastern Conference 'short' homer favs of -4 < pts (Philly) versus another > .500 opponent (Pacers)... when the OU line is < 186 pts.

Don't be afraid that Indiana has scored OVER 100 points in EACH of their last 5 games.
1-9 O/U since Jan: All Eastern Conference road underdogs who scored 100+ pts in EACH of their last three games (Pacers).

Pick Made: Apr 17 2012 9:08AM PST
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