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Bruce Marshall | today's note
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Tue, 02/21/12 - 7:35 PM Bryan Leonard | NBA Sides
double-dime bet 706 MIA -13.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 705 SAC
Results: L, -$220
Analysis: Sacramento at Miami
The Kings have dropped five straight games heading into tonight's matchup with the red hot Heat, knowing they play again tomorrow at Washington. That's a much more winnable game for Sacramento as they end this six game road trip. NBA teams catching 7 or more points in the first game of a back to back situation this year are just 22-30 ATS. It makes perfect sense as these squads know they don't have the talent to likely win as a sizable underdog and if they fall behind they are likely to rest the starters in the second half with a game the following night.
Miami is playing its best ball of the season and they had yesterday off and don't play again till Thursday as they host the Knicks. Miami has cashed its last five games when rested and six straight when not playing the following night. The last six games the Heat have covered by a combined 63 points, over ten points per game. The betting markets have failed to keep up with the Miami improvement. Now that the opening line has been bet down by 1 1/2 points it's time to step in with the hottest team in the league against the low character Kings.
PLAY MIAMI

Pick Made: Feb 21 2012 8:07AM PST
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