NBA "TRUE STEAM" for Thur 1-7-09

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NBA "TRUE STEAM" for Thur 1-7-09

Allright gentlemen...we only have 1 NBA game on tonight, due to the BCS Championship...And since my Ratings/Numbers support the "Early Move" that was made by the Betting Syndicates this morning...I decided that we would use the play, as tonight's isolated bet...

Like I said on this week's Video Pod-Casts...These next 2 weeks are extremely dangerous if you don't know how to approach them...Because with more and more football bettors making their way over to basketball...the oddsmakers will be forced to make some adjustments...

In the past, I've seen the Wiseguys get ahead of this adjustment and do some real damage...While other times, I've seen the books get the best of them...

So keep that in mind as we move on these "STEAM PLAYS"...And together we'll be able to see in no time, who is ahead of who in this battle...VR

 

NBA "TRUE STEAM" for THURSDAY 1-7-09 :

1.) OVER 197 CHA/NYK....Total Now 199

This is actually a total that I had circled because I felt that based on the last 2 meetings between these 2 teams, the oddsmakers would be forced to over-adjust, due to "public perception"...rather than "true strength"...Because if you look at the current form for BOTH of these teams, you will notice that their Offenses are clicking (Both Teams FG% has INCREASED Over L/5 Games)...And when the books hung the Total up, only 1Pt higher than they did for the last meeting...I expected to see the Wiseguys take a strong position, if my Ratings/Numbers were accurate...

Fortunately, I wasn't disappointed...Just the opposite...And although the Outfits left the Total alone when the number went up last night...today is a different story...What you need to always remember is that the Opening Lines Off-Shore have "Low Limits"...Especially when you are flagged as a "Wiseguy"...So it becomes advantageous for the Betting Syndicates to wait until more books offer a line on the game they are looking to bet...Especially when it's a Total, which the limits for are almost always lower to begin with...

That's what happened here...as the Wiseguys showed up bright and early to blast the OVER in this match-up...They hit it at 197, 197.5, 198, & 198.5...And that's when the sportsbooks decided that they have had enough...and went ahead and adjusted this line up to 200...Well after the Outfits had taken a huge position on the Total...VR

LINE PREDICTION : Because we've seen so many NBA games fall very close to the total offered, the Betting Syndicates always see "value" in working a "middle" on Totals...In fact, this practice even forced books like MGM/Mirage to use a ML on Totals...in an effort to turn-off "middle seekers"...This is why I believe that we are now seeing 199 & 199.5 all across the board...And although it won't receive much "volume", I do feel that the betting public will be split on the Total for this game...So they shouldn't provide any added pressure for the books on this Total...With that said, barring another "Buy-Order" on the OVER...which is definitely not out of the question, since according to my "Line"...there is still plenty of value on the OVER...we probably won't see too much movement...VR

I do expect that this will be on my Card for Tonight...Because like I said above, there really is still some more value on the OVER for us to take advantage of...And with all the attention on the BCS Championship game, I think that we will be able to get some added value in NBA & CBB tonight...

Thanks again for your continued support, and best of luck...Vegas-Runner.

  • Thanks Guevones, I really do appreciate that brother...and want to welcome you to the site...VR

    Catlover...there are a lot of sharp contributors on this site and you will definitely find some solid info...

    As far as JM...a good friend of mine who is as sharp as they come in Philly has done some work on his claims...And what he's discovered is that everytime JM loses a chase...he changes the parameters and is able to once again claim 100%...

    That is why you will notice that he don't just have 1 Winning System anymore...Instead, he has to continue refining them when they lose, so he can claim that it's still 100%...but under new parameters...

    You just can't win money when you place "Negative Expectation Wagers"...And buying 3 Points on every bet is definitely a NEGATIVE EV BET...

    Best of Luck, VR

  • VR ---- your True Steam blog is what brought me to this site. someone had posted it somewhere else, i wanted to find the origin, and that's how i got here. I freakin' love it. and i thought i knew about wagering before ... VR makes you feel like a pro yourself ...

    catlover --- go google john morrison NBA system and see what's it's all about. you'll find plenty of stuff. i've posted about it in Dan Bebe's blog a few times somewhat extensively and the pros and cons of it. don't want to repeat that all in here though and don't know how exactly to link you to that post.

    BOL to everyone this evening.

  • im new here and trying to find anything that will better my chances of winning i tried paying for service and nothing got but losers,i wiil stick around hopes of learning a bit...thanks guys.anybody heard of phd john morrison that claims to go 80-0 in basketball,thats true or insane.

  • Thanks Harpco...and all you guys...And it's for gentlemen like yourselves that I take the time each day to publish this blog...

    I'm not the kind of guy who feels the need to defend himself...But all bullshit aside, my TRUE STEAM record is "37-20" (65% ATS) since I started it...

    And if you can't make money from that, or learn from what I pass along daily...then brother, I just can't help you...

    Oh yea, and of those 57 Plays..."54" were FREE !!

  • Hey rodney why dont you start your own steam thread okay  and keep the 0-2 BS outta VR's thread you have a chance to follow great FREE info . You are doing nothing but showing EVERYBODY your NEWBIE colors by posting garbage .

  • hey  crisp listen to me if you guys want a winner.  I won't let you down. I'll go do my research right now.

  • there was a 3 pt swing in the over. significant steam.  VR's help is hit or miss, but usually hit. cant get this info anywhere else. i sure as hell wouldnt know how to read it if i saw it happening. he has the knowledge to understand it. next time itll be a winner

  • rodney he didnt force you to play it chief

  • Hey Rodney what he does is no joke. Everyone has ups and downs. How are your picks doing?

  • The number is now 200, is that still good for the over?

  • Already all over that! Thanks looking forward to tonights CBB.

  • UPDATE : Fellas, just wanted to let you know that I did go ahead and make tonight's "TRUE STEAM" Bet an Official 2* Wager for my Premium Clients...And also Added the play to Tonight's NBA/CBB $1.00 "All-Access" Card...I just continued to get more and more supporting information, and was also informed that a couple of Wiseguys are expected to STEAM it again before tip-off, which may get this up to 200 or higher...Until they are forced to work a "middle" because the opportunity would be tough to pass up...VR

  • Vegas Runner.....Great stuff!!!!  I look forward to reading your blog.  It is always informative and educational...Thanks again..

  • Sounds good just bring it home like last night! Keep up the good work VR.