Back in the saddle again after a 5 day break from all capping, BUT plenty of time to catch all Big 12 games of interest and make some small adjustments to my ratings of 2 weeks ago.
Texas and Kansas continue to seperate themselves from the rest of the pack and Texas simply put is on a roll, and the best ATS cover team in the Conference at 15-5 ATS overall, and they are 10-0 SU in conference action. While the Longhorns struggled with Baylor on Saturday they managed a win and a rare cover miss, while Kansas was pounding Iowa State at Phog Allen to move to 9-1 in Big 12 play.
Also rans are Texas AM out of a slump and they are 6-4 in conference action. Besides Texas and Kansas, Texas AM is the third best road team in the conference at 4-2 SU. Baylor is at 6-5 in conference action and their guards are starting to step up, and Mizzou continues to pound people at home, and act tlike they have never played before on the road, the Tigers are deplorable on the road. Nebraska's defense continues to impress and keep them in games and they just beat Okie State in Lincoln this weekend. NU is very tough at homne and have just 1 loss there all year and that was to Kansas. Colorado is falling fast losing 6 out of 10 and they have Kansas on deck, but managed a win over Kansas State in Boulder this weekend.
Kansas Satte is an enigma wrapped in a riddle this season, but it is apparent that all the defections from players, 10 transfers in 3 years, is taking its toll, and they are on the cusp of losing a bid to the NCAA tourney, especially with an early exit in the Big 12 Tourney if it happens. I think Frank Martins act is wearing thin, and remember this was a top rated team last year that went deep into the Big Dance.
At days end, with the way things are looking, KU and Texas will be in seperate brackets in the tourney, and if they can manage to avoid some upsets in Kansas City in that tourney, will meet and decide not only the conference championship, but no doubt a number one seed in the big dance in March Madness. Here are my powoer ratings for this week.
Feb 14 rankings
Texas AM 90
Kansas State 84
Oklahoma State 84 (tie)
Texas Tech 81
Iowa State 79
Allow 2 points for homecourt in all cases but the following:
Texas and Kansas 3.5 points at home, Nebraska, Missouri and Okie State 3 points.
Thanks, appreciate it Tony.
The difference between Texas and Nebraska is 8 points on Nuetral site based on these numbers. If Texas was to lay 15 points for example to Nebraska, that would be a 7 point overlay against the number. Anything over 5 is very much worth considering.....just some basic math....home courts get added to the teams at home...so if Texas was at home there would be an 11 points gap, and say they were laying 15, that is just a 4 point overlay.
Hope that helps...
How does one use the power ratings when capping a game?