Embrace an Indian if you can!
Laffey Should be able to hold Detroit down
Backing Cleveland is never a happy experience, but sometimes you have to go with the facts and let it ride.
Yeah Cleveland has one of the worst bullpens in recent memory, but I'm almost certain that Perez will be replaced by a little known lefty named Tony Sipp (3 innings 6K's and 1 Walk), and I think we might luck out, and see Chulk taking the place of either Lewis or Betancourt.
Wood should close the game in a tight spot. So we may have a surprizing pen if Wedge doesn't screw it up.
Cleveland owns the battle between the bullpens in this game, so it's amazing, we have a slight edge if they get Sipp in there instead of Perez! This is a razor thin hope, and it's why I didn't step out an make this a package play, but we do have the edge, ok?
Among the Starters?
Laffey is in a GREAT spot here. I know this is Detroit, but everything sets up nicely. Laz Diaz is our umpire and he supports Aaron's location zones with a low-end strike zone. Laffey helped Cleveland beat the Rays last season in a 13-2 mauling with Laz behind the plate! The other interesting overlap (one I really don't use much) is that Diaz has seen Cleveland win the last 4 games umped by him and the scoring differential was 27-3 (including a 5-0 win over the Tigers).......also.....Detroit was 0-3 with Diaz in 2008.
Miner is throwing the sinkerball, so he may survive, but he's not throwing strikes very well, and sat below 50% on his K-Rate in the last outing. AND CLEVELAND HAS SHOWN A DEFINITE PROPENSITY TO DRILL MINER (.357 BA/ .961 OPS)
When looking at Laffey: We see that he actually handles Detroit: The sample is small, but it's .211 for the BA.
He's a Lefty and Detroit can smack them around, so we have to be very wary here, ok?
Zach Miner's Daytime Era is 21.20
Laffey's Daytime Era is 3.06
Now why does Laffy have a shot here?
He cycled through the Tiger line-up for almost 7 innings last season and averaged 14.7 pitches per inning. He was inducing pop ups and grounders all day, and this is significant, becuase it hints of an inability for the Tiger batters to see his release points. WE HAVE A GROUND BALL UMPIRE CALLING THE SHOTS TODAY, and he's a CONTACT UMP.....so we have to consider the possibility that this game can go Under, but I think the game has a better calling on the Indian side of the equasion.
Why is Laffey Vulnerable?
Guys: He can't throw his slider on the Right Handers. The slider is unhittable, so any Lefty is actually in serious trouble, but the Right handers can tee-off on his Fastball, so this is why the RHB power in that Tiger order are somewhat dangerous. This is another reason to be cautious on playing this game.
I have to go with Laz Diaz as an added bonus and a King Maker for Laffey, because Aaron actually tore apart Detroit last year with a MONSTEROUS OVER UMPIRE....And now he has a friend behind the plate, so he can run that second rate fast ball on the edge against the right handers, and believe it or not, Ordonez, Inge, Guillen, Polanco, Raburn (faces Lefties), and Cabrera all drop in AVERAGE toward the .250's to .270's range on that low-outside corner!
Look for Laffey to spot that low outside on the Right Handers....if he drifts up, then he might have trouble, but he has the green light to keep it low, so we have a shot here!
I'm personally playing the Tribe +105 today.....
The package will begin to roll out starting tomorrow.......hopefully..
I'm giving you my take on this game, so do what you like with the information.
Over the course of a season KM will be up on the plus side. The hardest thing to do is give props.
But It's easy to bash.
What a surprise, the hater is back again
Dont change your system please, it is the perfect fade
Guys:I 'm sorry for this disgusting loss...the Grand Slam by Everitt was a killer, and then DUMBASS WEDGE throws in Sipp for two batters and then lets us have Betancourt??????????????
We had a shot with the lead in the 8th, but it blew up on us.....I DID relearn a few lessons here, so it was a productive loss for me as far as learning.....
Sorry again, guys.
How could you not rout for the Indinans with a pochahantas like that
lets get em today Kev
Don't hurt yourself with that patio
nice, that must be one hell of a big patio. with all that loot in won in basketball yu should have hired me and i would have came down and finish that project for ya. lol
thanks again most likly going to play small on texas
I'm cutting stone and laying C-10 right now on that damn patio, brother! :(
I like Texas there Petey, but backed off due to the potential meltdown of the Texas pitcher....there's no faith there, ok?
gl today king. i wanted your thoughts on texas. i think this price looks good for them. but i cant break it down like you can, can you give me a little advice here. Thanks, best f luck toyou the rest ofthe summer. you ever get that patio finished lol
Thanks for the kind words, Spartan.
The compliment, coming from a class act, like yourself, means a lot.
Yeah: Cleveland needs to do what they're supposed to do....totally right.......Wedge makes me crazy sometimes.
Nice capping Pal, exceptional frankly. Now they just need to do what their supposed to! Good luck Kevin!
Thanks, straguzzi......It was nice to see it open at -110 then get a "smart" push to -117 during the night, and then the sheep allowed us to snag +105.......of course, we hope they're sheep, right? :)
Good Luck Strag!!!!!
Great job capping this game, Kevin. You convinced me..lol.
Cleveland (Laffey) is +105 at BetUS....that's the first line I took...