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Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
Videos are just the START of the conversation. Each show has a dedicated blog post with show notes, links, and pics. Plus, the host and guests continue the conversation in the comments section!
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View more results: All Community | Pregame Blogs | Rob Crowne
  • Blog Post: HOW TO BET PRE-PLAYOFF GAMES

    HOW TO BET THE FINAL WEEKS BEFORE THE PLAYOFFS By Rob Crowne © Rob Crowne Assoc. December 23, 2012 NFL Playoff time is almost here again. Sports bettors always seem surprised by some of the results in the final 2-3 weeks before the playoffs. Just this past Sunday, for example, New England...
  • Blog Post: Preseason Trends & Minnesota/San Francisco

    Preseason football is one of the only places in which trends across several seasons can be meaningfully used. The reason is that the winner of any game in the NFL Preseason is controlled almost entirely by which team is playing to win. Which team wants to depends on just three things: 1. The desire of...
  • Blog Post: MARCH MADNESS STATISTICAL HANDICAPPING

    During the regular season most games are played on one team's home court. The most accurate handicapping results in such games are achieved by using the applicable home and road statistics for each team. During March Madness, however, most games are played on a neutral court. When handicapping...
  • Blog Post: DOPING OUT THE BOWL LOSERS

    The early bowls are best known for their "surprise" results. In many cases, however, the often aberrational results of the minor bowls are easily predictable by picking losers instead of winners. Some of you are no doubt saying, "I have no problem picking losers. It's winners that...
  • Blog Post: BEST MARCH MADNESS SECOND HALF BETS

    Team depth is one of the most important factors to consider when handicapping the college basketball tournaments. Teams that normally play only 30 games for the entire season may suddenly be playing as many as 3 games back-to-back or 4 games in 7 days. Some teams may play one or more overtime...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING THE COLLEGE BOWLS - Stats to Use

    There are three sets of statistics from which to choose for the purpose of handicapping a Bowl game being played on a truly neutral field: 1. Neutral field statistics when they are available. 2. Away statistics for both teams 3. Overall statistics including Home, Away, and Neutral field games...
  • Blog Post: PRESEASON ATS VS. STRAIGHT UP

    Unlike the regular season, won-lost records are one of the most important handicapping tools in the preseason. In some cases, SU won-lost trends are the only handicapping tool available for a preseason game. They must, however, be used properly and with the exercise of common sense. The handicapper uses...
  • Blog Post: Hilton Contest Week One Results & Analysis

    Boo hoo! Week One started with a 2-3. The worst part was I was 3-2 at the Crowne Club on late picks. My Contest Points +2. Here are the results of my picks: Detroit Lions +6.5 Won Indianapolis Colts -2 ½ Lost San Francisco 49ers -3 Lost San Diego Chargers -4 ½ Lost Washington Redskins...
  • Blog Post: MARCH MADNESS WINNERS PICKED BY HIDDEN HOME EDGE

    Each March, some teams have an unrecognized home court edge that provides one of the biggest betting advantages to be gained during the NCAA March tournaments. When a team plays on its home court everyone recognizes the edge, and unless that edge is miscalculated, the bettor gains no advantage...
  • Blog Post: BELMONT DAY BETS TO AVOID

    Triple bets are sometimes also called Trifecta bets. The bet requires that you correctly pick the first three finishers in the race in exact order. The track takeout on exotic bets, such as Triples, is huge. Depending on the track, the house cut of the betting pool ranges from 20%-35%. Imagine if your...
  • Blog Post: WHEN IS A WINNER NOT A WINNER

    Casey Stengel said, "Never make predictions, especially about the future." That's good advice from Casey, but he should have added, " . . .. especially when predictions about the future are based on won/lost records from the past." Most sports bettors and handicappers look at...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING LESSON - TRENDS

    As you park you car in the lot a guy walks up to you with a large mallet.. He points to a few scratches on your bumper and says, "I'll fix those for you while you're in the store. I work cheap, but I'm an expert body man." He has no sander, no paint, no paint sprayer, no filler...
  • Blog Post: COLLEGE TOURNAMENT HANDICAPPING

    College Tournament Handicapping © Rob Crowne & Assoc., March 12, 2010 Successfully handicapping the NCAA Conference Playoffs and the NCAA Tournament requires an awareness of the special factors the game location presents. The supposedly neutral sites are not necessarily neutral...
  • Blog Post: CALCULATING the HILTON CONSENSUS AND THE MONDAY TOP PLAY

    The Hilton Consensus “Everything is relative.” -- Albert Einstein This past week Minnesota was selected by 145 contestants. Only 16 contestants picked against Minnesota by selecting Arizona. Despite the 129-contestant differential between those picking Minnesota and those picking Arizona...
  • Blog Post: FAVORITE PHOBIA

    Favorite Phobia is a form of psychosis that afflicts otherwise reasonable and rational bettors during baseball season. Victims of the dread Favorite Phobia are filled with fear and loathing at the mere thought of a money line set at 2-1 or higher. As the line on a favorite rises above –160, sufferers...
  • Blog Post: ANSWERS TO YOUR TEASER QUESTIONS

    Here are the answers to some of the questions asked in the Comments to my article, " Teaser of the Year? What's That? " Question 1 : posted by jonpistone2 on 12/07/2009 3:01 AM i noticed u talked lots about 6 and 7 point teasers...clearly in a 13 point teasers you must get FOUR games right...
  • Blog Post: HILTON CONTEST OBSERVATIONS & A FREE PICK

    HILTON CONTEST – MORE OBSERVATIONS Coming into this week, after 50 selections, all of the contestants have fallen under 70%. None of the top 5 contestants could do any better than 3-2 this week, and all are now below 69%. This season is no different from every other season in that regard. Remember...
  • Blog Post: ARENA FOOTBALL IS EASY PICKINGS

    Can somebody explain to me why Arena Football is so much less popular than the NFL and NCAA? Perhaps the problem is that the smaller field takes away some of the psychological excitement. Football, after all, is a macho sport, and we all know small just ain't macho. Whether or not you are an Arena...
  • Blog Post: ROB CROWNE FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY JULY 27

    The WNBA is particularly easy pickings for the professional handicapper for many of the same reasons that I wrote about in my article regarding Arena Football. Linemakers set the line based on a desire to split the public action. The linemaker does not base the line on his opinion of the final game result...
  • Blog Post: BEATING THE BULLPEN (Post Fixed & Now Readable) + FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY

    I'm not sure what happened, but I posted this hours ago, and when I came back to look at it, only three people had managed to view it and the rest were apparently getting a 404 Error Page. I could not get the original post to show up no matter what I did. I had to delete the first article, then wash...
  • Blog Post: TEASER OF THE YEAR? WHAT'S THAT?

    Last Saturday, a pay-after-you-win internet sports handicapper promoted a "Teaser of the Year." His recommended teaser was a 7-point beauty on Rutgers/Oregon. Both teams were favored by 5.5 points, and were teased to +1 1/2. Rutgers took a bath, making the teaser a hideous loser at odds of...
  • Blog Post: Gambling Math - Part 1: RETURN ON INVESTMENT

    When you bet $100 flat on a single game you get back $91. When you bet $100 flat on a 2-team parlay, you get back $260. Do you know which has the higher return on investment (ROI)? The answer is not as easy as it looks. ROI is calculated by dividing your total win by your total amount invested...
  • Blog Post: BATTLE OF THE BAY & THE PRESEASON ADMONITION

    The Preseason Admonition warns against using Preseason NFL performance to handicap the regular season. As with almost every admonition, however, there are exceptions. One of those exceptions occurs in cases in which a team tries to win in the Preseason, but can't beat an opponent that is simply...
  • Blog Post: INTERPRETING PRESEASON COACH-SPEAK

    Success in selecting Preseason NFL winners requires extensive research each week into news stories and coach interviews to assess player rotations and coaching intentions, as well as to ascertain which positions on each team might be open to competition. . During the NFL Preseason, many coaches will...
  • Blog Post: THAT'S WHY THEY CALL IT "GAMBLING" + FREE PICK

    We had some terrible luck. If you bought my package for the Monday game, you know I picked Denver, and most of the analysis was based on Jay Cutler vs. Matt Cassel at QB and the comparative strengths of the offensive line. We were completely correct about the weakness of New England's offensive line...