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HOW TO BET THE FINAL WEEKS BEFORE THE PLAYOFFS By Rob Crowne © Rob Crowne Assoc. December 23, 2012 NFL Playoff time is almost here again. Sports bettors always seem surprised by some of the results in the final 2-3 weeks before the playoffs. Just this past Sunday, for example, New England...

The Hilton Consensus “Everything is relative.” -- Albert Einstein This past week Minnesota was selected by 145 contestants. Only 16 contestants picked against Minnesota by selecting Arizona. Despite the 129-contestant differential between those picking Minnesota and those picking Arizona...

The Preseason Admonition warns against using Preseason NFL performance to handicap the regular season. As with almost every admonition, however, there are exceptions. One of those exceptions occurs in cases in which a team tries to win in the Preseason, but can't beat an opponent that is simply...

Normal 0 Normal 0 BELMONT STAKES: Does the Post Matter? Copyright Robert Crowne Assoc, June 10, 2011 The post position draw for this Saturday's Belmont Stakes took place Wednesday, and final jockey assignments were announced. Here are the results:...

There are three sets of statistics from which to choose for the purpose of handicapping a Bowl game being played on a truly neutral field: 1. Neutral field statistics when they are available. 2. Away statistics for both teams 3. Overall statistics including Home, Away, and Neutral field games...

HILTON CONTEST – MORE OBSERVATIONS Coming into this week, after 50 selections, all of the contestants have fallen under 70%. None of the top 5 contestants could do any better than 3-2 this week, and all are now below 69%. This season is no different from every other season in that regard. Remember...

Boo hoo! Week One started with a 2-3. The worst part was I was 3-2 at the Crowne Club on late picks. My Contest Points +2. Here are the results of my picks: Detroit Lions +6.5 Won Indianapolis Colts -2 ½ Lost San Francisco 49ers -3 Lost San Diego Chargers -4 ½ Lost Washington Redskins...

Normal 0 HILTON NFL CONTEST - A BAD BET © Robert Crowne & Assoc., Sept. 10, 2010 Note: The Las Vegas Hilton Supercontest is a trademark of the Las Vegas Hilton. The Hilton Supercontest has been peopled, in the main, by existing sports services...

Unlike the regular season, won-lost records are one of the most important handicapping tools in the preseason. In some cases, SU won-lost trends are the only handicapping tool available for a preseason game. They must, however, be used properly and with the exercise of common sense. The handicapper uses...

Preseason football is one of the only places in which trends across several seasons can be meaningfully used. The reason is that the winner of any game in the NFL Preseason is controlled almost entirely by which team is playing to win. Which team wants to depends on just three things: 1. The desire of...

Favorite Phobia is a form of psychosis that afflicts otherwise reasonable and rational bettors during baseball season. Victims of the dread Favorite Phobia are filled with fear and loathing at the mere thought of a money line set at 2-1 or higher. As the line on a favorite rises above –160, sufferers...

I'm not sure what happened, but I posted this hours ago, and when I came back to look at it, only three people had managed to view it and the rest were apparently getting a 404 Error Page. I could not get the original post to show up no matter what I did. I had to delete the first article, then wash...

College Tournament Handicapping © Rob Crowne & Assoc., March 12, 2010 Successfully handicapping the NCAA Conference Playoffs and the NCAA Tournament requires an awareness of the special factors the game location presents. The supposedly neutral sites are not necessarily neutral...

Here are the answers to some of the questions asked in the Comments to my article, " Teaser of the Year? What's That? " Question 1 : posted by jonpistone2 on 12/07/2009 3:01 AM i noticed u talked lots about 6 and 7 point teasers...clearly in a 13 point teasers you must get FOUR games right...

Last Saturday, a pay-after-you-win internet sports handicapper promoted a "Teaser of the Year." His recommended teaser was a 7-point beauty on Rutgers/Oregon. Both teams were favored by 5.5 points, and were teased to +1 1/2. Rutgers took a bath, making the teaser a hideous loser at odds of...

Question : How do you stop a chicken from hatching? Answer: Call Rob Crowne You know the saying: "Don't count your chickens before they hatch." Well, when it comes to hatching chickens, I'm a champ at stopping them. Last night my Crowne Jewel was on Minnesota. I predicted Minnesota...

Triple bets are sometimes also called Trifecta bets. The bet requires that you correctly pick the first three finishers in the race in exact order. The track takeout on exotic bets, such as Triples, is huge. Depending on the track, the house cut of the betting pool ranges from 20%-35%. Imagine if your...

In the first article in this series, we discussed the fact that the standard ways you make judgments about people cannot be used to spot con artists. The good con man is a person that most people trust implicitly, and who can charm the pants off you. Con games don't only exist in the financial industry...

Do you know how to spot a con man? If you can't, the money he loses may be your own. You cannot tell whether or not someone is a con man by using your great judgment of human nature. If a con man is good, he will have the ability to get most people to like him. The best salesmen sell themselves first...

When you bet $100 flat on a single game you get back $91. When you bet $100 flat on a 2-team parlay, you get back $260. Do you know which has the higher return on investment (ROI)? The answer is not as easy as it looks. ROI is calculated by dividing your total win by your total amount invested...

As you park you car in the lot a guy walks up to you with a large mallet.. He points to a few scratches on your bumper and says, "I'll fix those for you while you're in the store. I work cheap, but I'm an expert body man." He has no sander, no paint, no paint sprayer, no filler...

Last Tuesday night, the posted total in the Detroit/Chicago game opened at 190, ran down to 188 ? and 10 minutes before the game started ran back up to 191 or 191.5 in some places. If you bet the "under" after the line ran down to 188.5 because you were trying to follow the smart money, or...

Team depth is one of the most important factors to consider when handicapping the college basketball tournaments. Teams that normally play only 30 games for the entire season may suddenly be playing as many as 3 games back-to-back or 4 games in 7 days. Some teams may play one or more overtime...

During the regular season most games are played on one team's home court. The most accurate handicapping results in such games are achieved by using the applicable home and road statistics for each team. During March Madness, however, most games are played on a neutral court. When handicapping...

Each March, some teams have an unrecognized home court edge that provides one of the biggest betting advantages to be gained during the NCAA March tournaments. When a team plays on its home court everyone recognizes the edge, and unless that edge is miscalculated, the bettor gains no advantage...