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Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
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Results for Handicapping
View more results: All Community | Pregame Blogs | Rob Crowne
  • Blog Post: TODAY'S METS GAME AND THE FORGOTTEN FACTOR IN BASES

    You.ve all heard the saying, "Good pitching overcomes good hitting." Really? Who decided that? Do you know? Was it some baseball announcer who never could pick a winner? Where's the statistical support for that platitude? If the good hitting won, how would anyone know whether it was merely...
  • Blog Post: Preseason Trends & Minnesota/San Francisco

    Preseason football is one of the only places in which trends across several seasons can be meaningfully used. The reason is that the winner of any game in the NFL Preseason is controlled almost entirely by which team is playing to win. Which team wants to depends on just three things: 1. The desire of...
  • Blog Post: MARCH MADNESS STATISTICAL HANDICAPPING

    During the regular season most games are played on one team's home court. The most accurate handicapping results in such games are achieved by using the applicable home and road statistics for each team. During March Madness, however, most games are played on a neutral court. When handicapping...
  • Blog Post: DOPING OUT THE BOWL LOSERS

    The early bowls are best known for their "surprise" results. In many cases, however, the often aberrational results of the minor bowls are easily predictable by picking losers instead of winners. Some of you are no doubt saying, "I have no problem picking losers. It's winners that...
  • Blog Post: BEST MARCH MADNESS SECOND HALF BETS

    Team depth is one of the most important factors to consider when handicapping the college basketball tournaments. Teams that normally play only 30 games for the entire season may suddenly be playing as many as 3 games back-to-back or 4 games in 7 days. Some teams may play one or more overtime...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING THE COLLEGE BOWLS - Stats to Use

    There are three sets of statistics from which to choose for the purpose of handicapping a Bowl game being played on a truly neutral field: 1. Neutral field statistics when they are available. 2. Away statistics for both teams 3. Overall statistics including Home, Away, and Neutral field games...
  • Blog Post: PRESEASON ATS VS. STRAIGHT UP

    Unlike the regular season, won-lost records are one of the most important handicapping tools in the preseason. In some cases, SU won-lost trends are the only handicapping tool available for a preseason game. They must, however, be used properly and with the exercise of common sense. The handicapper uses...
  • Blog Post: CHAMPIONSHIP LINE ANALYSIS AND BETTING ADVICE

    Here's some information to help you to bet like a professional in the NCAA Tournament tonight and get the best of everything. In the NCAA Championship game tonight I'm seeing a line of North Carolina -7.5. It's been a solid 7.5 all day, but appears like it may be moving down to -7. That trend...
  • Blog Post: LESSON: HANDICAPPING WITH THE RACING FORM

    Today is the day for the 135th Running of the Kentucky Derby. The Derby is the Super Bowl of horse racing. Everyone from Auntie Lucinda to your Grandmama suddenly dons a big, fancy hat and becomes a racing fan. You can, of course, pick your horse by one of the tried and true methods such as closing your...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING LESSON - TRENDS

    As you park you car in the lot a guy walks up to you with a large mallet.. He points to a few scratches on your bumper and says, "I'll fix those for you while you're in the store. I work cheap, but I'm an expert body man." He has no sander, no paint, no paint sprayer, no filler...
  • Blog Post: COLLEGE TOURNAMENT HANDICAPPING

    College Tournament Handicapping © Rob Crowne & Assoc., March 12, 2010 Successfully handicapping the NCAA Conference Playoffs and the NCAA Tournament requires an awareness of the special factors the game location presents. The supposedly neutral sites are not necessarily neutral...
  • Blog Post: ROB CROWNE NFL FREEBIE

    I promised a pick package play in the NFL today, but all I had until very late were small plays. When selling individual plays I donn't like to put up anything but stronger plays. I put up on Pregame's free pick page a play on Tennessee -3, and here is the late play from the Wall Street Bankers...
  • Blog Post: HALL OF FAME GAME OF THE YEAR

    "A Tony Dungheap by any other name would smell as foul." - Rob "Shakespeare" Crowne, circa today from the play "Tonio and Zorniette." "It was the best of games, it was the worst of games." Charles Dickens Crowne, from a "Tale of Two QB's." Every handicapper...
  • Blog Post: WINNING PROPS FOR MONDAY OCTOBER 24 NFL

    Here are the best props for the Monday, October 24 game between Denver and New England. As I said last week, proposition bets are the most profitable bets available for the small bettor. Unfortunately, you can't bet them big, but you can win an unusually high percentage. TEAM TOTAL: Take N.E. under...
  • Blog Post: BATTLE OF THE BAY & THE PRESEASON ADMONITION

    The Preseason Admonition warns against using Preseason NFL performance to handicap the regular season. As with almost every admonition, however, there are exceptions. One of those exceptions occurs in cases in which a team tries to win in the Preseason, but can't beat an opponent that is simply...
  • Blog Post: INTERPRETING PRESEASON COACH-SPEAK

    Success in selecting Preseason NFL winners requires extensive research each week into news stories and coach interviews to assess player rotations and coaching intentions, as well as to ascertain which positions on each team might be open to competition. . During the NFL Preseason, many coaches will...
  • Blog Post: Observations of a Professional Handicapper

    Observations of a Professional Handicapper Sunday, December 10, 2010 J ets/Pittsburgh total of 36 If you bet the Jets at Pittsburgh to score less than 36 points, here's a lesson for you that will allow you to profit from the folly and misconceptions of the general public. The only...
  • Blog Post: WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE WNBA? + A FREEBEE

    Okay, unlike my recent article asking why Arena Football wasn't as popular as the NFL, I know why no one likes the WNBA. Last week one of the ladies in the WNBA actually managed to dunk the ball and it made front page headlines and the highlight films on every sports broadcast. If there was ever...
  • Blog Post: PROFESSIONAL BASEBALL BETTING

    Rule: To maximize your win you must risk more on the better bets and less on the worse bets and nothing on the bad bets. You cannot expect to win by risking larger sums on poorer bets, and lesser sums on better bets. Most bettors bet baseball by risking whatever is necessary to return their normal win...
  • Blog Post: CHOOSING A LINE FOR THE VIKINGS/SAINTS

    In tonight's game between New Orleans and Minnesota the most common posted points line is New Orleans favored by 3 laying -120. There are some just plain 3 flats around, and a very few lines of 3 1/2 flat There is also a money line of -160. Normally the points line is preferable no matter which way...
  • Blog Post: LATE FRIDAY NFL FREEBEE FROM ROB CROWNE

    You'll have to be quick, but if you can still get in play SF +1 in the late game tonight against Oakland. Neither head coach normally puts any emphasis on winning in the preseason, but SF has a new offensive coordinator by the name of Mike Martz. Our information out of SF is that Martz wants to get...
  • Blog Post: THE 3-POINT SOLUTION

    The 3-Point Solution "Anyone who thinks the Preseason is meaningless doesn't understand football." -- Bill Parcells Many bettors believe that NFL Preseason games are meaningless and, therefore, cannot be bet profitably. In fact, the opposite is true. The preseason presents one of the...
  • Blog Post: THERE'S MORE TO BASEBALL THAN PITCHING AND STREAKS

    Normal 0 THERE'S MORE TO BASEBALL THAN PITCHING AND STREAKS Normal 0 © Robert Crowne & Assoc., July 9, 2011 I am forever amazed at how many baseball bettors rely solely on pitching statistics to make their selections. Then, when the better pitcher loses...
  • Blog Post: Super Bowl XLV Post Game Analysis

    The best team lost the Super Bowl. The manner in which Super Bowl XLV played itself out provided a perfect demonstration of the problems facing football handicappers. Those problems prevent even the best handicappers from winning at better than a 60% long-term rate. We all know the platitudes regarding...
  • Blog Post: HORRIBLE HANDICAPPING: A LESSON

    Last night, the total in the Motor City Bowl was set at 70. At the Crowne Club we had our biggest play of the Bowl season so far on the UNDER. Offensively, Florida Atlantic has averaged 25 points per game this season, and Central Michigan has averaged 30. The combined offensive points total 55 -- far...