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Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
Videos are just the START of the conversation. Each show has a dedicated blog post with show notes, links, and pics. Plus, the host and guests continue the conversation in the comments section!
Results for Betting Theory
View more results: All Community | Pregame Blogs | Rob Crowne
  • Blog Post: HOW TO BET PRE-PLAYOFF GAMES

    HOW TO BET THE FINAL WEEKS BEFORE THE PLAYOFFS By Rob Crowne © Rob Crowne Assoc. December 23, 2012 NFL Playoff time is almost here again. Sports bettors always seem surprised by some of the results in the final 2-3 weeks before the playoffs. Just this past Sunday, for example, New England...
  • Blog Post: TODAY'S METS GAME AND THE FORGOTTEN FACTOR IN BASES

    You.ve all heard the saying, "Good pitching overcomes good hitting." Really? Who decided that? Do you know? Was it some baseball announcer who never could pick a winner? Where's the statistical support for that platitude? If the good hitting won, how would anyone know whether it was merely...
  • Blog Post: BEST MARCH MADNESS SECOND HALF BETS

    Team depth is one of the most important factors to consider when handicapping the college basketball tournaments. Teams that normally play only 30 games for the entire season may suddenly be playing as many as 3 games back-to-back or 4 games in 7 days. Some teams may play one or more overtime...
  • Blog Post: PRESEASON ATS VS. STRAIGHT UP

    Unlike the regular season, won-lost records are one of the most important handicapping tools in the preseason. In some cases, SU won-lost trends are the only handicapping tool available for a preseason game. They must, however, be used properly and with the exercise of common sense. The handicapper uses...
  • Blog Post: BELMONT DAY BETS TO AVOID

    Triple bets are sometimes also called Trifecta bets. The bet requires that you correctly pick the first three finishers in the race in exact order. The track takeout on exotic bets, such as Triples, is huge. Depending on the track, the house cut of the betting pool ranges from 20%-35%. Imagine if your...
  • Blog Post: WHEN IS A WINNER NOT A WINNER

    Casey Stengel said, "Never make predictions, especially about the future." That's good advice from Casey, but he should have added, " . . .. especially when predictions about the future are based on won/lost records from the past." Most sports bettors and handicappers look at...
  • Blog Post: CHAMPIONSHIP LINE ANALYSIS AND BETTING ADVICE

    Here's some information to help you to bet like a professional in the NCAA Tournament tonight and get the best of everything. In the NCAA Championship game tonight I'm seeing a line of North Carolina -7.5. It's been a solid 7.5 all day, but appears like it may be moving down to -7. That trend...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING LESSON - TRENDS

    As you park you car in the lot a guy walks up to you with a large mallet.. He points to a few scratches on your bumper and says, "I'll fix those for you while you're in the store. I work cheap, but I'm an expert body man." He has no sander, no paint, no paint sprayer, no filler...
  • Blog Post: COLLEGE TOURNAMENT HANDICAPPING

    College Tournament Handicapping © Rob Crowne & Assoc., March 12, 2010 Successfully handicapping the NCAA Conference Playoffs and the NCAA Tournament requires an awareness of the special factors the game location presents. The supposedly neutral sites are not necessarily neutral...
  • Blog Post: CALCULATING the HILTON CONSENSUS AND THE MONDAY TOP PLAY

    The Hilton Consensus “Everything is relative.” -- Albert Einstein This past week Minnesota was selected by 145 contestants. Only 16 contestants picked against Minnesota by selecting Arizona. Despite the 129-contestant differential between those picking Minnesota and those picking Arizona...
  • Blog Post: FAVORITE PHOBIA

    Favorite Phobia is a form of psychosis that afflicts otherwise reasonable and rational bettors during baseball season. Victims of the dread Favorite Phobia are filled with fear and loathing at the mere thought of a money line set at 2-1 or higher. As the line on a favorite rises above –160, sufferers...
  • Blog Post: ANSWERS TO YOUR TEASER QUESTIONS

    Here are the answers to some of the questions asked in the Comments to my article, " Teaser of the Year? What's That? " Question 1 : posted by jonpistone2 on 12/07/2009 3:01 AM i noticed u talked lots about 6 and 7 point teasers...clearly in a 13 point teasers you must get FOUR games right...
  • Blog Post: HILTON CONTEST OBSERVATIONS & A FREE PICK

    HILTON CONTEST – MORE OBSERVATIONS Coming into this week, after 50 selections, all of the contestants have fallen under 70%. None of the top 5 contestants could do any better than 3-2 this week, and all are now below 69%. This season is no different from every other season in that regard. Remember...
  • Blog Post: BEATING THE BULLPEN (Post Fixed & Now Readable) + FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY

    I'm not sure what happened, but I posted this hours ago, and when I came back to look at it, only three people had managed to view it and the rest were apparently getting a 404 Error Page. I could not get the original post to show up no matter what I did. I had to delete the first article, then wash...
  • Blog Post: EXPECTATION

    Saturdays Kentucky Derby was a sad day in racing. Almost immediately after the race ended and the second-place finisher, Eight Belles, broke both ankles and was immediately euthanized. It hasnt been discussed, but the fault lies with either the track, or more likely with the jockey. A horse doesnt break...
  • Blog Post: TEASER OF THE YEAR? WHAT'S THAT?

    Last Saturday, a pay-after-you-win internet sports handicapper promoted a "Teaser of the Year." His recommended teaser was a 7-point beauty on Rutgers/Oregon. Both teams were favored by 5.5 points, and were teased to +1 1/2. Rutgers took a bath, making the teaser a hideous loser at odds of...
  • Blog Post: Gambling Math - Part 1: RETURN ON INVESTMENT

    When you bet $100 flat on a single game you get back $91. When you bet $100 flat on a 2-team parlay, you get back $260. Do you know which has the higher return on investment (ROI)? The answer is not as easy as it looks. ROI is calculated by dividing your total win by your total amount invested...
  • Blog Post: BATTLE OF THE BAY & THE PRESEASON ADMONITION

    The Preseason Admonition warns against using Preseason NFL performance to handicap the regular season. As with almost every admonition, however, there are exceptions. One of those exceptions occurs in cases in which a team tries to win in the Preseason, but can't beat an opponent that is simply...
  • Blog Post: Observations of a Professional Handicapper

    Observations of a Professional Handicapper Sunday, December 10, 2010 J ets/Pittsburgh total of 36 If you bet the Jets at Pittsburgh to score less than 36 points, here's a lesson for you that will allow you to profit from the folly and misconceptions of the general public. The only...
  • Blog Post: ONE TRIPLE CROWN RACE TOO MANY

    Almost every year that a horse has wins in the first two legs of the Triple Crown under its belt, and this year for Calvin Borel, a jockey with two Triple Crown wins under his belt, the Belmont Stakes became one Triple Crown race too many. The same was true for us and our Belmont Package. The Belmont...
  • Blog Post: WINNING WITH RACE EXOTICS

    In last year's Kentucky Derby we hit the Exacta paying $101, and the Triple paying $440 for each $2 bet. We won another Triple paying $46.20, an exacta returning $18, an additional Exacta paying $41.20, and a Daily Double paying $113. In sports, the general rule is that exotic bets are strictly for...
  • Blog Post: HOW TO STOP CHICKENS FROM HATCHING

    Question : How do you stop a chicken from hatching? Answer: Call Rob Crowne You know the saying: "Don't count your chickens before they hatch." Well, when it comes to hatching chickens, I'm a champ at stopping them. Last night my Crowne Jewel was on Minnesota. I predicted Minnesota...
  • Blog Post: THE 3-POINT SOLUTION

    The 3-Point Solution "Anyone who thinks the Preseason is meaningless doesn't understand football." -- Bill Parcells Many bettors believe that NFL Preseason games are meaningless and, therefore, cannot be bet profitably. In fact, the opposite is true. The preseason presents one of the...
  • Blog Post: HANDICAPPING THE PRO BOWL

    As with all meaningless games, no edge can be gained by attempting to handicap the winning side in the Pro Bowl using fundamental statistics. The use of won-lost trends between the AFC and NFC to predict results is also precluded due to the NFL's maintenance of equality between the Conferences. The...
  • Blog Post: BETTING WITH THE SMART MONEY

    Last Tuesday night, the posted total in the Detroit/Chicago game opened at 190, ran down to 188 ? and 10 minutes before the game started ran back up to 191 or 191.5 in some places. If you bet the "under" after the line ran down to 188.5 because you were trying to follow the smart money, or...