Las Vegas, Nevada (March 13, 2011) – from RJ Bell of Pregame.com:Second column equals how much you win risking $100 on team.Third column equals the exact percentage chance the team has to win tournament according to Las Vegas.
Ohio State
$400
14.3%
Duke
$450
13.0%
Kansas
$460
12.8%
Pittsburgh
$725
8.7%
San Diego St
$1,600
4.2%
North Carolina
$1,700
4.0%
Texas
$2,000
3.4%
Notre Dame
$2,200
3.1%
Florida
Purdue
Kentucky
$2,500
2.8%
Syracuse
Louisville
$2,800
2.5%
Connecticut
$3,200
2.2%
Kansas State
$3,400
2.0%
28 Other Team
$4,000
1.7%
Washington
BYU
$4,500
1.6%
Wisconsin
$5,100
1.4%
Arizona
$7,200
1.0%
Georgetown
St Johns
$7,500
0.9%
UCLA
$8,000
Michigan State
$9,000
0.8%
West Virginia
$10,100
0.7%
Vanderbilt
$11,500
0.6%
Villanova
$12,500
Cincinnati
$14,000
0.5%
UNLV
$15,000
Illinois
Old Dominion
$16,000
0.4%
Temple
$17,500
Xavier
Butler
$20,100
Tennessee
Penn State
$22,500
0.3%
Texas A&M
Michigan
Florida State
$27,000
Georgia
$30,000
0.2%
George Mason
$37,500
Pinny has "will a #1 seed win the tourney" Yes is -167/No +148 which means there is a 61.17% chance a #1 seed wins according to them.... and they are the sharpest book in the world
Pinnacle must have read this as they dropped to -156 :) So with a .20 cent comeback the math is basically the same, except Pinnacle was behind the curve a little.
Getting +148 on that prop has a bit of an overlay... and I still think it is at +138
True odds are closer to 50/50 on a 1 seed winning, going by log5 analysis