With the first round of the NBA playoffs upon us, it is important to take a look at how important game #1 actually is. When comparing the NBA, MLB and NHL; the NBA seems to have the most direct correlation on how a team does in the first game of a seven game series in comparision to other sports afte winning game #1. Interesting to note that a visiting team that steals a game #1 on the road is only 2-12 in game #2. round site Game 2 rec. series rec.Prelim all 36-20 (.643) 44-12 (.786)
Prelim H 34-6 (.850) 37-3 (.925)
Prelim V 2-14 (.125) 7-9 (.438) In baseball, once the series is at seven games, a visiting team who takes game #1 actually is 45.5% to win the second game, while in the NHL, they are close to 40%. Rest of the NBA playoffs by round and overall:
round site Game 2 rec. series rec. all all 223-170 (.567) 310-83 (.789)all H 198-91 (.685) 251-38 (.869)all V 25-79 (.240) 59-45 (.567)Finals all 31-32 (.492) 46-17 (.730)Finals H 28-19 (.596) 38-9 (.809)Finals V 3-13 (.188) 8-8 (.500)Semis all 60-46 (.566) 85-21 (.802)Semis H 49-24 (.671) 62-11 (.849)Semis V 11-22 (.333) 23-10 (.697)Qtrs all 96-72 (.571) 135-33 (.804)Qtrs H 87-42 (.674) 114-15 (.884)Qtrs V 9-30 (.231) 21-18 (.538)As each series advances we can look at some possible angles based on historical facts on the NBA playoffs. For example, a few years back when the Celtics were up 2-0 on the Lakers I found Teams up 2-0 in the NBA, after winning the first 2 at home, are 170-10 94.4 % all time in 7 game series. Bookmaker had a series bet with the Celtics at -140. Even though I will never be teaching math at MIT, if you were told you have a 94.4% chance to win with a historicaly record of 170-10, how do you not lay -140?So good luck on your first round wagers and we will report back once the first games are completed.Regards,Johnny Detroit, Co-Founder and Vice-PresidentBettors get ready at Pregame.com1-800-PREGAME | email@example.comAOL/YAHOO IM: johnnypregameMSN Messenger: firstname.lastname@example.org
Another set of game #1 kicking off....
It's jumping off Saturday!!!!!
bump for upcoming NBA Playoffs.
Just listened. Great stuff Gill.
interesting tidbit is if the home team in the 1st round takes game #1, they are 37-3 (.925) to win the series. regardless if 1st round or finals, 310-83 (.789).
Part of the zigg-zat concept. Here's a podcast with Gill Alexender discussing it with Yahoo's Marc Spears: http://bit.ly/bAfjkH