Heads or tails? Half full or half empty? Each and every day there is a line posted the eternal battle between the opening line from the linesmakers and the movement from wiseguy action rages on. Outside of something like the Super Bowl or an occasional Monday Night Game, the movement you see during the week is from professional betting groups. I am sure you always hear the line movement is because the book is trying to balance the public action and make the juice, but how many recreational bettors are betting the Saturday 3:30pm EST college game on Tuesday at 7:42 in enough volume to move the line? I will revisit this thread next week to see how well the linesmakers opener did against the movement from the wiseguys and review any of the middles that were available to regular people like me due to this constant battle:#109/110: East Carolina opened up as a 4.5 point favorite and is currently sitting at a 6 across the board with 57% of the bets offshore backing the fav.#117/118: Even though 69% of the action loves Michigan State to give Northwestern their first loss, the $ that matters has bet the Wildcats from a 3 point underdog down to 1.5.#119/120: Two potent offenses, but the opening total number of 58 is down to 55 as of now at some of the major sharp betting shops.#121/122: This is an interesting one. 70% of the action is on Army -2.5, but the line is now down to a pick against Eastern Michigan (there goes your books trying to balance the action theory). #135/136: Close to 90% of the early action liked Central Michigan minus the points, but the line has went from -10 down to -7. Three points.....#145/146: This one opeend up at -25, but right now USC is favored by 28 over Arizona State.#151/152: No one believes Notre Dame is for real. This line opened at North Carolina -5, but is now sitting at 7.5-8.#175/176: Penn State BCS bound? Wisconsin had dreams of the BCS and now can only hope for the Capital One Bowl. This line opened at Penn State -4 and is now sitting at -6.Looking at the board, who do I think could be the next moved? Personally, Kansas State opened at -3.5 and was bet down to -2.5. Despite getting rolled last week, I can see this line moving back up and closing closer to the original opener. Would love to hear what games you think well end up as the "biggest mover" of the week?
none of the big movers covered
With injuries and suspensions to Texas AM that line will jump more today..I did not relaize Texas AM had ANY good defensive players...when did this happen?
Here are two totals that have moved
Iowa/Indiana Opened 42 & Current 44.5
Boise St/Southern Miss Opened 55 & Current 57.5
The Clemson game moved like 3x. It was sick. Went all the way around. I was pissed I missed the middle chance, but not so pissed when it did not land.
Clemson/Wake Forest was a significant mover yesterday.
One of A&M's two defense players worth anything (Michael Bennett) was just suspended for this week's game. Now all they have left is Von Miller. I'm buying at 3.5.
Oregon went from -17 to -20..........
Back up to 3.5:
Looking at the board, who do I think could be the next moved? Personally, Kansas State opened at -3.5 and was bet down to -2.5. Despite getting rolled last week, I can see this line moving back up and closing closer to the original opener.
4.5 to 6. Good call Chucky.
Didn't Florida OPEN at -4 vs LSU & Now 6?