Convince me the Hawks can win game 7.....

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Convince me the Hawks can win game 7.....

The line right now for game seven is the Celtics minus a whopping 14.5. So here is the task for today:

I do not want any "no way" or "will be a blowout" talk. Say you were hired to present a case on why the Hawks have a shot to win game 7 outright. So essentially a debate on the two sides and the coin flip gave you the 14.5 point underdog Atlanta Hawks. The best case will get a $100 from me via Pay Pal. $200 if the Hawks win!

While in NY I tossed in a small prop wager based on how well I thought the Hawks were playing at home and assuming a game 7 was more than likley (ticket below).

So from now until the game tips, check the stats and numbers and sell me on why I might hit this 16-1 shot. If I pick your reasoning as the best, I will shoot ya $100 via Pay Pal. If by chance the Hawks win, you will get an additional $100 once I cash my ticket.

Wager details for ticket number 20162798-1:

Wager Type: Money Line
Wager Status: Pending
Risk / To Win Amount: 200.00 / 3,200.00 (USD)    Accepted 4/30/2008 6:41 PM - EST
 
Sport / Period: NBA Basketball  /  Game
Line:
 
Atlanta Hawks (Series)  4/30/2008 8:35:01 PM - (EST)
+1600
Opponent: Boston Celtics (Series)

  • Steve,

    Check went out today.

  • Just shot you an email, JD....

    Thanx for the generosity....good stuff, as always; wish the Hawkers woulda showed up and played as if they were still in 'Joe-Jah' !

  • Oooo..I will

  • Stevebeav,

    Email me at johnny@pregame.com with your Pay Pal info. Too bad the Hawks did not listen.

  • WOW .....That shit was unreal....Johnson had a great game like I said, but nobody else came to play......

  • Atlanta never had a chance.  They couldn't hit a shot under the pressure of the Boston home crowd.  Way to many nerves and not enough veterans on Atlanta to get them over the hump.  Bibby was a big dissapointment.  Hawks will improve.

  • Hawks failed to respond to Game Seven urgency - went to bench far too late and not often enough....

    I STILL haven't seen Acie Law (late 3rd), for Atl - nor Salim Stoudamire till mid-3rd.... those brief, yet significant stretches with Law, Johnson and Bibby was deadly for Boston's efforts to rest Rondo and esp. caused more req'd min and tough cross-switch for Ray Allen, who excels when he can guard his counter-point, 2-spot.

    Hard to figure how Hawks decisively deviated from the SUCCESSFUL Gm 3/4/6 strategy - which produced avg 34 avg. FT per game...even in Gm 1/2 LOSSES, Atl shot avg 34 FT's per game (28 + 40)...they have THIRTEEN att, mid-4th Qtr...Atl is not getting to the rim, making the xtra pass, and when Johnson / Williams /Smith are doubled, they're really jammed up - (esp. Johnson), NOT passing out of it!

    KG and Perkins have posted up ATL, and even though Horford has 11 Boards, ATL refuses to help and pick up low post curl move into lane, as they had been doing in Gm 3/4/6...shows me that they are simply intimidated, and not prepared to immerse themselves in the attempt to WIN THIS GAME....they do not BELIEVE they can win, IMO....and never really did today.

    I'm convinced that Hawks have essentially 'Won' by getting to game Seven - in thier mind, anyway.  

  • This is sembach007, It is time for the greatest upset in NBA history.  It is very difficult to defeat the same team at home within a 2 week period.  Take the points and don't be surprised of an ATL victory. I have a great feeling about this one. Remember Shaq,Koby,the mailman and Payton? didn't they lose to an underdog Detroit? I beet a co-worker $500 on Atl to win straight up. You heard it from 007.

  • This is a small addition to my story that might help me win the $100. The big three for Boston have played well toghether all year, but they have not been in a game this big in their NBA carrers. Like I said earlier, Garnett does not far well in the fourth under pressure.He does not post up mutch witch will fav Atl. Boston will rely on outside threes and fast break pts. This may help us in the game if Boston goes cold. Bibby can get Horforod and Smith some paint pts  Perkins and Pierce (who will be guarding Smith) could get into foul trouble by the fourth. Johnson has  avg more pts than Allen so that will fav Atl as well. No one expected Atl to even be here in this spot and that is the scariest part for Boston.  Bench pts willl be key here as well as ZAZA and Childress both had good games last game outscoring Bostons bench. Boston will have to play their starters MORE this game 7 as witch will also fav Atl as they will be fresh in the fourth. Nobody expected this series to go to 7 so atl is going to go into this game as this is there NBA champ game witch is going to be scary for the Celts .............

  • well, I can tell you the Hawks will win game 7 because I will put money on the Celtics! If I do that then you, Johnny can take the hawks on the ml and have a great payout!   see how easy that is!

  • Sorry, RJ, you are not eligible for the $100 prize......

  • Deciding games tend to be blowouts (either way) because once the game result has been decided, the emotion for the losing team causes them to not fight at the end.

  • How big of an upset would this be? Not sure how many game 7's had spreads at 14.5.

  • ATLANTA YOUNG & FULL OF ENERGY W/NOTHING TO PROVE WHILE THE "THREE AMIGOS" ARE SWEATING BULLETS HOPING THIS UPSET DOESN'T GET ADDED TO THEIR RESUMES OF THINGS THEY HAVE SCREWED UP OVER THEIR CAREERS !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! GO HAWKS AS I ALWAYS ROOT FOR THE LITTLE GUY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! GRAB THE +14 JD & I'LL SEE YOU @ THE PAYOUT WINDOW !!!!!!!!!!!!!! ROOTING FOR YOU FOR THE HAWKS TO WIN SU !!!!!!!!!!!!!! G L MY FRIEND !!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Atlanta can win because nobody expects them too.  Atlanta players will be scared shitless but it's all about getting this game to the final 2:00 minutes tied or ahead.  If Atlanta can't weather the storm in the first quarter, they will lose by 25 and the score will end up 100-75.  It's all about the first quarter.  That is Atlanta's only chance.  Don't forget about a possible injury to Garnett or Pierce.  That might give them a better chance to win as well.    Atlanta hasn't even come close to winning in Boston yet.  Boston played with drama in Atlanta and lost both games.  It's like they wanted a game 7.  More money for the team I guess.  LOL  Anyways, this game reminds me of the Suns and Lakers series when the Suns were down 0-2 to the Lakers and the Suns came roaring back and won 3-2.  Same scenario here.  Boston just hasn't had any real blood in a while.  They won't lose today.