With baseball around the corner, I will start dropping some tips I have learned over the years. This one is in regards to the runline and the difference in home vs away favorites when factoring in the runline. 

In mlb, there is a correlation between road fav/over. essentially, if a home team is winning they obviously will not bat in the bottom of the 9th. regardless of the margin of the road team being up, there is always going to be a final at bat. i started pulling games and saw certain scenarios play out between the total and teams. dug deeper and found little things that home dogs do better against division teams.

Going back to the road fav being the starting point, you find road favs cover the runline close to 44% of the time, while home favs around 39%. By 1 run? Road 12%, Home 18%. The rest are losers. So you find value in road favs on the runline due to the extra at bat.