Baseball Betting and Handicapping: Run Line Chart Leads the Way to August Profit

Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
Videos are just the START of the conversation. Each show has a dedicated blog post with show notes, links, and pics. Plus, the host and guests continue the conversation in the comments section!

Baseball Betting and Handicapping: Run Line Chart Leads the Way to August Profit

Now is the time when you can make big money using my unique run line chart. Each day we track how every team does, home and away, by their win margin. Every August the line maker begins to inflate the money lines for the contenders vs. the pretenders. As a result knowing which teams perform well and which teams perform poorly in specific situations can lead us to great run line profits.  The following charts will outline which teams perform the best in each roll:

The following teams are solid propositions when laying the runs at home. If they win the game at home they do so by 2+ runs 75% or more of the time. 

1.     Colorado: 21 out of 26 home wins by 2+ runs

2.     New York Yankees: 28 out of 37 home wins by 2+ runs

3.     Boston Red Sox: 26 out of 33 home wins by 2+runs

4.     Texas: 26 out of 35 home wins by 2+ runs

5.     Oakland: 24 out of 31 home wins by 2+ runs

6.     Detroit: 23 out of 31 home wins by 2+ runs

For perspective please recall that all home teams who win the game at home do so 64% of the time. All results are through July 31, 2011. 

Our next group of teams are teams who get blown out when they lose the game at home. This list of teams loses by 2+ runs 80% of the time when they lose at home. For perspective please recall that all home teams who lose at home lose by 2+ runs 76% of the time.

1.     Chicago Cubs: 25 out of 31 home loses by 2+ runs

2.     Cincinnati: 22 out of 27 home loses by 2+ runs

3.     Pittsburgh Pirates: 22 out of 25 home loses by 2+ runs

4.     LA Dodgers: 28 out of 31 home loses by 2+ runs

5.     Arizona: 21 out of 23 home loses by 2+ runs

6.     Tampa Bay: 20 out of 25 home loses  by 2+ runs

7.     Baltimore: 27 out of 28 home loses by 2+ runs

8.     Detroit: 20 out of 24 home loses by 2+ runs

9.     Texas: 19 out of 21 home loses by 2+ runs

You should consider laying the run line against these teams at home when they are facing a superior road team. All results are through July 31, 2011.

Our third list of teams are those road teams who, when they win on the road, do so by 2+ runs. As you will recall when a road team wins on the road they do so by 2+ runs 76% of the time. These are teams with whom you should consider laying the runs on the road if you think they are going to win the game. The following teams have reported 80% or more of their road victories by 2+ runs

1.     Philadelphia: 22 out o 27 road wins by 2+ run

2.     St Louis: 24 out of 28 Road wins by 2+ runs

3.     Chicago: 15 out of 18 road wins by 2+ runs

4.     LA Dodgers: 17 out of 20 road wins by 2+ runs

5.     NYY: 24 out of 27 road wins by 2+ runs

6.     Boston: 28 out of 33 road wins by 2+ runs

7.     Tampa Bay:  28 out of 32 road wins by 2+ runs

8.     Chicago White Sox: 23 out of 28 road wins by 2+ runs

9.     Detroit: 22 out of 26 road wins by 2+ runs

10.  Texas: 23 out of 26 road wins b 2+ runs

All records are through July 31, 2011.

If we turn our attention to combined home and road records we find 5 teams who win by 2+ runs 75% of the time if they win the game. These teams are:

1.     St Louis: 44 out of 57 total wins by 2+ runs

2.     NYY: 52 out of 64 total wins by 2+ runs

3.     Boston: 54 out of 66 total wins by 2+ runs

4.     Detroit: 45 out of 57 total wins by 2+ runs

5.     Texas:  49 out of 61 total wins by 2+ runs

Your  final list of teams is a group of 5 teams who when they lose the game do so by 2+ runs 75% of the time. These teams are:

1.     Houston: 55 out of 73 loses by 2+ runs

2.     Pittsburgh: 40 out of 52 loses by 2+ runs

3.     LA Dodgers: 47 out of 59 loses by 2+ runs

4.     Baltimore: 54 out of 63 loses by 2+ runs

5.     Detroit:  40 out of 51 loses by 2+ runs

  • Great Info Joe. THanks

  • Joe is a solid guy. Lives this stuff.

  • 5.     Oakland: 24 out of 31 home wins by 2+ runs

    surprised to see oakland here. couldn't have predicted this at the beginning of the season.

  • Great info Joe.  Thank you.

  • Thanks for sharing Joe and welcome to Pregame. Been a fan of your work for a long time and your sports betting information and knowledge will be a huge asset for everyone in the community. Best of Luck ahead and continued success. VR

  • Interesting 5.     Detroit                                                       40 out of 51 loses by 2+ runs