Have you ever Wondered why most “Professional” Handicappers can wade through 50 to 70, and even more games on the Saturday and Sunday Card without Picking 1 Single Total, and then ask you to Bet one on Monday Nite? This phenomenon happens way too often and there are a lot of reasons why. The Primary one is the fact that Most Handicappers treat Totals as Evil and stay away from them unless they HAVE TO PICK ONE. That would of course be on a High Profile Monday Nite game, (The Sharpest Totals Anywhere) when they have decided they don’t like either side. But wait!! They have to have something to sell right? Why would you bet that game from one of these guys?
PROFESSIONAL HANDICAPPERS ARE NOT PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERSThis is probably one of the biggests misconceptions in this business that I love so much. Just because one has a website and “picks games” does not mean that one makes his living betting sports. Not Capitalizing on THE SOFTEST LINES in all sports, Totals, is a clue that your handicapper has a day job and that job is not betting for a living. The fact is, Real Professional Gamblers probably place 45% to 50% on these types of Bets overall in what they bet because they know that Vegas cannot effectively put out good numbers. Whether you use a “Paid” handicapper or not, you can too Pad your Bankroll with these types of wagers.
ODDSMAKERS ARE FRIGHTENED OF THESE BETSYou don’t have to wonder why Most Sportsbooks put their College Football Totals up for betting late in the week, usually Wednesday or Thursday. You don’t have to wonder why Most Sportsbooks put their CBB Totals up late in the day and often omit putting many games on the card at all. You don’t have to wonder why Most Sportsbooks have Lower Limits on these wagers as well. It is because they know that they are at a Huge Disadvantage with these Numbers and they really don’t even like to take the action. However, they do, because they know that if they don’t, somebody else will.
MAKE YOUR BOOKIE CRINGEIf you want to get the Upper Hand on the Guy you hate the most, you need to start looking at betting totals. Probably 45% of all of my Client Released Plays are Totals, and probably 55% of all of My personal wagers are too. In fact, I handicap totals first when looking at the weekly/daily card, because doing so gives me a better perspective on the side as well. Often while looking at what how many points/runs/goals might be scored, I discover who is going to score more of them. And I discover that without prejudice. That makes me an Overall Better Handicapper.
HOW DOES ONE GO ABOUT HANDICAPPING TOTALS?This right here is a Book and we will talk about this fully in another segment at a later date. The Bottom Line is this. Totals that Books release are based on one thing and one thing only. Perception. In that respect, it is much like handicapping who is going to win a game. The fact is, if Nebraska scores 52 points on a Thursday Nite, you can best believe that next week, their Posted total is going to be High. It most likely is going to be TOO HIGH. Comparing matchups is key here as well in both CBB and CFB, which are the softest lines anywhere. Just simply looking at past scoring is NOT Recommended. You must determine who they scored upon, what type of defense, what type of team. You must set your own number prior to books releasing their’s and you must trust your numbers. There is way more to this type of wagering but I will stop for now.
WHO IS DOMINATING BOOKS WITH TOTAL BETS?A few Handicappers in this business understand the value of betting these soft numbers and the one’s that concentrate their time on doing so are most affective. Ed Golden at Right Angle Sports is one of them. This guys is a Master of Totals and always has been. I think I am pretty damn good as well but I am not because I am a great handicapper or anywhere close. I am because I am a student of Totals and I already have a HUGE Advantage over the Bad Guys because they CRINGE as they release their Totals Lines. Would you like to make them Cringe? You can if you put in the effort to do so. While Most “Professional” Handicappers continue to play the Glamorous Side Wagers, this Professional Gambler will continue to bet these soft numbers.
YES---but not as big a mess til today with NWESTERN play---wish there was a 30 pt TEASER---not a great way to treat a former fellow MEMPHINITE!!!!---maybe next time----
I am well aware Part 2 of this article is a very low priority at the moment but just leaving you a friendly reminder that you committed to completing it and have many pregame members looking forward to it, especially with baseball right around the corner.
Da O man
markakis21, Email support, they will do you right...
hey greg, I bought your 7 day package on sunday, not thinking that you would have no picks this week. Do i get reimbursed for these lost days somehow?? If not i need a big weekend
Really nice write-up, so much would like to see more of this kind of write-ups and less of the Redsox -180 bet it a lock that everyone on here seems to do, not you. These are what forums miss in my opinion, there are plenty of sites to get plays like Bos -180, I want info like this!
GREAT JOB AND THANKS!!!!!!!!!!!!
markakis21, I personally play All Moneyline Favs to win Unit amount and Risk All Moneyline Dogs for the Unit amount..
Although you can do different as long as you stay consistant with what you do..
Keep posting this shit Greg and pregame will start moving the number early. Thanks for all your valuable insight.
Hey greg, i have your monthly pass of picks. Am I supposed to wager the same amount on each game or try to win the same amount on each game??
Great luck this weekend Greg; hope you sweep the board. Also, I am well aware Part 2 of this article is a very low priority and hopefully it has not become to much of a pain in the ass. Looking forward to reading it and learning something.
I am well aware Part 2 of this article is a very low priority but just leaving you a friendly reminder.
Great Luck this weekend.
Thanks! Great Luck this weekend.
Next week obie...I promise.
Mr. Shaker you are the master of suspense as you have the whole pregame.com community waiting for Part 2 of "IS YOUR SPORTS BETTING A TOTAL MESS?"
Please sir, may we have the second installment?
Doc, Why not? I thought it was good stuff and worthy of weekly thing...Anyone who is willing and able to put out early info on betting numbers is OK in my book..
Great stuff Mr. Shaker.