GoodFellas (Angels @ Mariners) Preview Thursday, May 21, 2009

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GoodFellas (Angels @ Mariners) Preview Thursday, May 21, 2009

 
 


The Angels give the ball to Joe Saunders tonight, who is coming off his worst start of the season, as he was tagged for a season-high seven runs and eight hits. including three homers. in 5 1-3 innings of Friday's 10-8 loss at Texas. His ERA climbed nearly a full point. jumping from 2.66 to 3.59. Like most pitchers, Joe has struggled big time while pitching at Texas, as he is 0-4 with a 10.29 ERA in four starts at Texas, but he's 20-3 with a 2.72 ERA in 28 starts as a visitor to other ballparks. He has posted a 1.86 ERA in winning his last three starts in Seattle, and allowed just one run and three hits in seven innings of a 5-1 victory at Safeco Field on April 16. In five starts against the Mariners since the start of last season, Saunders is 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA. Joe has been outstanding & the backbone of the injury riddles Angels rotation this season, as they loss their young stud Adenhart to a untimley death early on this season, & both Lackey & Santana have just recently joined the roation, coming back from injury. Seattle gives the ball to Erik Bedard, who missed his last start due to a tight right hamstring and manager Don Wakamatsu said he'd likely be limited to 90-to-100 pitches. In Bedard's last start at Minnesota on May 10, the left-hander allowed two runs, five hits and a season-high five walks in a season-low 4 2-3 innings of a 5-3 victory. He threw a season-high 110 pitches. Angels OF Bobby Abreu left Wednesday's game with a sprained left big toe. Manager Mike Scioscia said Abreu will miss a couple of days. Bedard limited the Angels to 5 hits, 0 BB, 6 K's & 3 runs (2 earned) in a win on Apr, 24. Despite the recent troubles of Mariner reliever Bandon Morrow, Seattle's bullpen has been very good this season, & their bullpen has a home ERA of 2.45 & a 1.47 WHIP. The Angels on the other hand, have had severe trouble with their bullpen this season, especially on the road, as they are sporting a 6.83 ERA & a WHIP of 1.57. Here are some career numbers for some key players vs the starting pitchers for tonights game: For the Angels vs Bedard, Figgins (3-16 .188), Mathews (4-17 .235) Hunter (9-23 .391) Rivera (2-7 .286) Kendrick & Napoli (2-6 .333) & Abreu (5-26 .192) who is mot likely OUT tonight anyways. For the Mariners vs Saunders; Ichiro (5-25 .200) Lopez (4-22 .182) Beltre (6-19 .316) Sweeney (1-7 .143) Balentien (1-9 .111) Johjima (0-6 .000). Seattle is 8-3 vs left-handed starters this season & they are 3-0 after shutting a team out. I lean to the Mariners tonight, but I can't make a play for two reasons: Bedard will be on a pitch count of 90 tonight according to the Mariners manager & I don't know how healthy Bedard really is & these two factors make this game a pass for me.

The line & total for this game are as follows:

Seattle -115/Angels -105 (total of 7.5)

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  • LA Angels

     AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg  

    C. Figgins 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .280  

    E. Aybar ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .299  

    J. Rivera lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .275  

    T. Hunter cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .315  

    M. Napoli c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .312  

    K. Morales 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .282  

    R. Quinlan dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .150  

    G. Matthews Jr. rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .276  

    H. Kendrick 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .239  

    Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  

    Seattle

     AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg  

    I. Suzuki rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .318  

    A. Beltre 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .200  

    M. Sweeney dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .246  

    W. Balentien lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .269  

    R. Branyan 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .305  

    K. Johjima c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250  

    J. Lopez 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .224  

    Y. Betancourt ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .267  

    F. Gutierrez cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .258  

    Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  

    LA Angels

     IP H R ER BB K HR Season ERA  

    J. Saunders  0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.59  

    Seattle

     IP H R ER BB K HR Season ERA  

    E. Bedard  0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.53  

  • Just an FYI. I am making a personal play on this game. 1/3rd the size of a (1*) Premium Play.

    Seattle Mariners -117

  • Thanks Dan, I appreciate it bud.

    Creeper, I always appreciate your support of me & it DOES NOT go unoticed by me for one second. You are a sharp cat....... & just keep learning & bust that ass making yourself a better capper my friend, you are well on your way.

  • Great info as usual Brotha. Your insights and perspectives are invaluable (especially rookie cappers as myself) . Thats why your so respected around here my friend, keep it up

  • In my brief time at Pregame, I've really come to thoroughly enjoy the blog posts.  That's where the real info comes out.  As if you need me to tell you, GF, more fine work.

    I'm not able to stay up late enough to watch this game, so I'll probably pass on betting it, but should be a dogfight.

  • Thanks Marco & best of luck with the Angels IF u do indeed have a play on them.

  • Saunders was due for a flat effort in his last start as he was coming off that 1-0 pitchers duel against Greinke in the start before. I would look for Saunders to bounce back with a strong effort tonight...Great write buddy!

  • It's low & thats why I am passing..... :)

  • Oh shit..I forgot you are from the Pacific NW buddy!

    And yes the bullpen of LA stinks right now.....yeah a tough call but iot looks too good to be true for Seattle, with that big of homefield / Bullpen advantage they should be -145 or so.....the line is funky....as I said...GUN TO MY HEAD ONLY...

  • I agree with that theory Tony, but can u really trust that Angels bullpen?? Especially on the road?? Seattle's bully has REALLY stepped it up lately & Marc Lowe is REALLY on a roll right now & Aardsma has been awesome all year. Very small price on the home ball club with a serious bullpen advantage IMO......PASS for me though!

  • Not a bad angle to go against a decent pitcher off a bad outing..I had some numbers on that last year but my PC crashed and I lost that database damn it!

    Good stuff as always GF...I persoanlly , if I had a gun to my head, would lean with the Angles on this one....

  • Great write up my friend. Keep smoking them!

  • Thanks Joe, I appreciate you taking the time to reply buddy. I will NOT have a play on this game later however, this one just says PASS to me big time...........

  • Great writeup. There's a lot of good info here to capp this game with. Maybe as things develop today, you'll have a play on this one.

    Hope Stay hot hot. We got them good last night.