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06/05/2011 10:30 PM · dustin galgano
DODGERS: Los Angeles is trying to stay in the thick of the National League West chase. The Dodgers aer 28-32 this season, which has cost their bettors -7.78 units. Because of the popularity of the Dodgers, betting on them usually comes at quite the premium. Combine that premium with a shaky bullpen, and you have a disaster in waiting. Ted Lilly will make the road start in the hostile environment of Philadelphia. Lilly has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. The left handed veteran has been very streaky this season, as he's been either really good or quite poor on the mound. The Dodgers are 5-0 in Lilly's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Los Angeles is 5-0 in Lilly's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Dodgers are 1-5 in Lilly's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Los Angeles is 11-5 in their last 16 games against a left-handed starter.
Projected Score: 2
Dodgers are 12-25 last 37 road games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 last 8 road games.
PHILLIES: (-190, O/U 7.5) Philadelphia enjoys the biggest division lead in all of baseball, as they lead the National League East by a full 3 games. The Phillies are 35-24 overall this season for +3.16 units. Philadelphia has been dominant thanks to their world class pitching rotation. Cliff Lee makes the home start tonight, and he is 4-5 this year with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.26. In reality, the Phillies expect more from Lee than his results have shown so far this season. The Phillies are 6-1 in Lee's last 7 starts against the National League West. Philadelphia is 7-2 in Lee's last 9 home starts. The Phillies are 2-5 in Lee's last 7 starts played on grass. The Phillies are 1-4 in Lee's last 5 starts against a team with a losing record. Philadelphia is 0-4 in Lee's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games against a left-handed starter. Philadelphia is 5-1 in their last 6 games during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 Monday games. Philadelphia is 42-19 in their last 61 home games against a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 44-20 in their last 64 games against the National League West. Philadelphia is 53-24 in their last 77 home games.
Projected Score: 4 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
Phillies are 28-9 last 37 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 4-0 last 4 home games.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more
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