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04/22/2011 9:45 PM · dustin galgano
BULLS: (-4.5, O/U 187.5) Chicago is one win away from sweeping the Indiana Pacers right out of the playoffs. The Bulls are up 3-0 in their best of 7 series, despite never leading by more than 7 points in any game. The Bulls have been able to win thanks to their ability to execute offensively in the closing minutes of games. PG Derrick Rose continues to torch the Pacers, as he's averaging 32.7 PPG and 4.7 APG, both team highs. G Kyle Korver was particularly clutch in Game 3, as he was able to make timely three pointers for Chicago. F Carlos Boozer is averaging 11 PPG and a team high 11 RPG against the Pacers in the playoffs. Chicago is 27-15 SU and 26-16 ATS in road contests overall this season. The Bulls are 7-5 ATS as a road favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this year. Chicago is 18-11 ATS after allowing 85 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. Chicago is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 games playing on 1 days rest. Chicago is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 93
Bulls are 6-2 ATS last 8 games as a road favorite.
Under is 4-1 last 5 games against the Eastern Conference.
PACERS: Indiana is facing elimination tonight, which is simply too bad considering their efforts. The Pacers have played the Bulls tough in all 3 games, having a chance to win all 3 contests in the final minute. Instead, Indiana is down 0-3 in their best of 7 1st round series. The Pacers are a relatively young team, and a playoff win would go a long way in their maturation process. Despite being down 0-3 SU, the Pacers are 2-0-1 ATS against the Bulls in this playoff series. Indiana is a 4.5 home underdog tonight, a half point more than they were in Game 3. The Pacers are 24-18 SU and 21-20 ATS in home games this season. Indiana is 4-5 ATS as a home underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this year. The Pacers are just 3-6 ATS after scoring 85 points or fewer in their previous game. F Danny Granger leads the Pacers in scoring during the postseason, as he's averaging 21.3 PPG. Granger is the lone Indiana player averaging more than 13 PPG during the playoffs. F Tyler Hansbrough is averaging 12.7 PPG and 5 RPG for Indiana. The Pacers are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 games playing on 1 days rest.
Projected Score: 95 (SIDE of the Day)
Pacers are 7-3 ATS last 10 games following a SU loss.
Over is 6-1 last 7 games as a home underdog.
THUNDER: Oklahoma City has arguably been the most impressive team in the playoffs thus far. The Thunder have beaten the dangerous Denver Nuggets in their 1st two games to take a 2-0 series lead. F Kevin Durant and G Russell Westbrook appear to be the duo of the future, as they are relentless offensively. Oklahoma City is 25-16 SU and 23-18 ATS in road games this season. The Thunder were a 3.5 and 4.5 road underdog when playing in Denver this year. Oklahoma City is 7-3 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this season. Durant is averaging a team high 32 PPG for the Thunder in the playoffs. Westbrook is averaging 26 PPG and a team high 7 APG during the playoffs for Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Western Conference. The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 104
Thunder are 8-2 ATS last 10 road games.
Under is 4-0 last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
NUGGETS: (-5, O/U 205) Denver has learned the hard way that regular season success doesn't guarantee playoff success. The Nuggets are down 0-2 in their 7 games series with the Thunder. Luckily, Denver is a much more formidable team at home, where they will be for the next few games. The Nuggets were competitive in Game 1, only to get blown out in Game 2. Denver is an impressive 33-8 SU and 21-18 ATS in home games this season. The Nuggets are 4-6 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this year. Denver was a 3.5 and 4.5 home favorite in their 2 regular season contests against Oklahoma City at home. C Nene Hilario is averaging Denver highs of 19 PPG and 8.5 RPG in the playoffs. G Raymond Felton is averaging 14 PPG and a team high 5 APG in their 2 playoff games. Denver is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games. Denver is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Western Conference. The Nuggets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Denver is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Projected Score: 108 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Nuggets are 8-1 ATS last 9 games following a SU loss.
Over is 5-0 last 5 playoff games as the listed favorite.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more
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