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03/20/2011 10:16 PM · dustin galgano
BEARS: Missouri St. has made a name for themselves over the past few seasons as one of the strongest mid majors in the nation. The Bears had a great season this year, going 26-8 SU and 16-15-1 ATS overall. Missouri St. is amazing at home, but merely average on the road. The Bears are 7-6 both SU and ATS in true road games this season. Missouri St. is 2-0 ATS as a road underdog between 3.5 and 6 points this year. The Bears are 8-4 ATS in non-conference contests this season. Missouri St. beat a solid team in Murray St. in their opening game of the NIT. F Kyle Weems is the most important player on the Bears, as he averages team highs of 16 PPG and 6.9 RPG this year. G Jermaine Mallett is averaging 11.9 PPG and 5.9 RPG this season for Missouri St. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. Missouri St. is 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games as a road underdog. The Bears are 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Missouri St. is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bears are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning SU record. Missouri St. is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
Projected Score: 70
Bears are 10-4 ATS last 14 non-conference games.
Over is 7-0 7 road games.
HURRICANES: (-4.5, O/U 133) There was some concern that Miami wouldn't be motivated to play in any post-season event not named the NCAA Tournament. The Hurricanes put that to rest with a convincing 85-62 SU win over Florida Atlantic in the opening round of the NIT. Miami gets a far tougher opponent tonight, as Missouri St. is a very sound team. It's been quite some time since Miami has won consecutive games SU. The Hurricanes are 20-14 SU and 15-13-1 ATS overall this season. Miami is 13-4 SU and 5-7 ATS at home this season. The Hurricanes are 0-2 ATS as a home favorite between 3.5 and 6 points this season. Miami is 8-3 ATS in non-conference games this year. G Malcolm Grant is averaging team highs of 15.2 PPG and 3.3 APG for the Hurricanes this season. C Reggie Johnson is averaging 12 PPG and a team high 9.7 RPG this year. The Hurricanes are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Miami is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Projected Score: 71 (OVER-Total of the Day)
Hurricanes are 29-8 ATS last 37 non-conference games.
Under is 4-0 last 4 games following a SU win.
LOBOS: New Mexico was one of the forgotten teams this year in the Mountain West Conference. The Lobos played in a very challenging conference, yet were still able to finish with season records of 22-12 SU and 15-15-1 ATS overall. New Mexico has 2 claims to fame this year, as they beat BYU twice this season. The Lobos are 6-7 SU and 6-6 ATS in true road games this year. New Mexico struggled on the road mostly due to their inexperience of playing together through adversity. The Lobos dominated a good UTEP team in the 1st Round of the NIT Tournament. New Mexico is 4-4 ATS as the listed underdog this season. F Drew Gordon will have to be dominant tonight if the Lobos are to pull off the road upset tonight. Gordon is averaging a double double this season, 13 PPG and a team high 10.8 RPG. The Lobos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games. New Mexico is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Lobos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog up to 6.5 points. The Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
Projected Score: 58
Lobos are 5-0 ATS last 5 games against the SEC.
Under is 5-1 last 6 games following a SU win.
TIDE: (-4.5, O/U 128.5) Alabama was fighting for an NCAA Tournament big up until their final game. The Crimson Tide have had a good season, but they wanted to cap it off in the Big Dance. Instead, Alabama finds themselves in the 2nd round of the NIT Tournament. The Tide dominated Coastal Carolina in the 1st Round, winning 68-44 SU as a 12 point favorite. The Tide are 22-11 SU and 16-13 ATS overall this season. Alabama is a perfect 17-0 SU and 11-2 ATS in home games this season. Obviously their home record proves just how stout the Tide are at home. Alabama is 12-4 ATS as the listed favorite this season. F JaMychal Green is averaging team highs of 15.8 PPG and 7.8 RPG this year for Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite up to 6.5 points. Alabama is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. The Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Crimson Tide are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Alabama is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. The Crimson Tide are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
Projected Score: 69 (SIDE of the Day)
Tide are 10-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 last 5 non-conference games.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more
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