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03/11/2011 8:49 PM · dustin galgano
GRIZZLIES: Memphis currently has a stranglehold on the coveted 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Grizzlies are a very talented team, and they are finally progressing to the point they are playing up to their ability. Memphis is 36-30 SU and a dominant 41-24-1 ATS this season. The Grizzlies are 14-20 SU and 22-12 ATS in road games this year. Memphis is also an unbelievable 22-8 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Regardless of what trend you come up with, Memphis has been incredibly profitable this season. F Zach Randolph has been dominant this year, as he is averaging team highs of 20.2 PPG and 12.8 RPG this season. PG Mike Conley is averaging 14.1 PPG and a team high 6.6 APG this year. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Memphis is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog between 5 and 10.5 points. The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the NBA Southeast. Memphis is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Memphis is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
Grizzlies are 20-5-1 ATS last 26 games as an underdog.
Under is 8-3 last 11 road games.
HEAT: (-7.5, O/U 196) Miami is coming off a great performance, as they beat the Lakers 94-88 SU for a season sweep of the defending champions. The Heat's win over the Lakers was much needed, as there were some growing concerns about the mental toughness of Heat players. Miami is 44-21 SU and 30-34-1 ATS overall this season. The Heat are 23-9 SU and 11-20 ATS at home this year. Miami lost very early in the season to the Grizzlies, so revenge is likely on Heat agenda. Miami is 2-7 ATS as a home favorite between 6.5 and 9 PTS this year. The Heat currently trail Boston by 3.5 games for 1st place in the Eastern Conference. Miami is allowing just 94.9 PPG, 6th fewest in the NBA. F LeBron James is averaging Heat highs of 26.2 PPG and 7.1 APG this season. F Chris Bosh is averaging 18.2 PPG and 8.1 RPG this year. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Miami is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
Heat are 0-6 ATS last 6 games as the listed favorite.
Over is 9-2 last 11 games against the Western Conference.
LAKERS: Los Angeles suffered their 1st loss since the All-Star game against Miami in their last game. The Lakers aren't likely to be in a good mood today, especially when you factor in that they've lost to Dallas in their only meeting this season. Los Angeles is ultimately trying to pass Dallas for the 2nd best in the Western Conference. The Lakers are 46-20 SU and 32-33-1 ATS overall this year. Los Angeles is 24-12 SU and 20-16 ATS in road games this season. The Lakers are 2-2 ATS as a road underdog this year. G Kobe Bryant is averaging team highs of 25.1 PPG and 4.8 APG this season. F Pau Gasol is averaging 18.6 PPG and a team high 10.4 RPG this year. Los Angeles will look to neutralize Dirk Nowitzki with their ever improving defense tonight. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning SU record. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Los Angeles is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games. The Lakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%. Los Angeles is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Lakers are 7-0 ATS last 7 games against the Western Conference.
Over is 5-1 last 6 games following a SU loss.
MAVERICKS: (-1.5, O/U 193) Dallas has already beaten the Lakers once this year SU, at home as a 3 point home underdog. Tonight's meeting is a 4.5 point swing from their first meeting, proving how Dallas has improved while the Lakers have declined in both oddsmakers and the general public's eye. Dallas is currently 1.5 game ahead of Los Angeles for the 2nd best record in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 47-18 SU and 35-28-2 ATS overall this season. Dallas is 24-9 SU and 15-16 ATS at home this year. The Mavericks are 2-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or fewer this season. F Dirk Nowitzki is averaging a team high 23 PPG this year, while shooting a remarkable 52.8% from the field. G Jason Terry is averaging 16.4 PPG and 4.3 APG this year for Dallas. The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the NBA Pacific. The Mavericks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600%. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the listed favorite. The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Projected Score: 99 (SIDE of the Day)
Mavericks are 9-3 ATS last 12 games following an ATS win.
Over is 11-1 last 12 games against the Western Conference.
I am a huge fight fan and have a great sense and feel for it. If I had to choose one sport over the other, I would say that I am a bigger boxing fan than MMA fan as I have been watching boxing far longer... Read more
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