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Prelude: Due to a nasty flu, we didn't end up having an NFL blog last week. It felt weird, and didn't help with our handicapping. I award myself two thumbs down for not getting it done. Anyway, back to the quick PERCEPTION LINE ERROR notes on EVERY game, since, dammit, that's what I've...

Prelude: Same prelude as last week, just a scheduling note: with NBA Blogs coming out nightly, I'll likely go back to adding all the games with early lines on Sunday or Monday, and all the games with lines that come out later in the week on Wednesday or Thursday. So, gone are the days of adding 3...

Prelude: Nothing new, really. Back to the grind! With NBA Blogs coming out nightly, I'll likely go back to adding all the games with early lines on Sunday or Monday, and all the games with lines that come out later in the week on Wednesday or Thursday. So, gone are the Blogs of daily NFL updates...

Prelude: In last week's blog, we talked about how we will continue to go "bigger" on games that have more line value, and we'll continue to play any game with enough value to make a play, and that even though week 7 was a 1-3 turd, the perception errors will always lead to a winning...

Prelude: Last week was the MOST VIEWED, and GREATEST NUMBER OF RESPONSES of any NFL Blog so far, and I can't thank you all enough for weighing in on every game, and really making it interactive! We had some great plays that panned out, and we had some almost-good plays that fizzled because of...

Prelude: Hopefully you all noticed, there was no blog last week. I wrote it in a few places, but as I'm reminded, not everyone sees everything, so very quickly... Last week was blog-less because I was spending time with close friends here in Michigan to mourn the death of an incredible person...

Prelude: As noted last week, the blog is being pared down to just an analysis of PUBLIC PERCEPTION, and how it creates betting value! The blog last week absolutely hammered the misaligned perceptions in about 10 games, and, not surprisingly, led to a perfect 5-0 sweep on my card. I hope you guys used...

Prelude: This week, and all weeks moving forward, the blog will shorten up just a tad. The first 2 blogs focused largely on perception angles, but also included a good deal of other notes. From here on out, the blog will focus SOLELY on how perception is creating or demolishing value, and it's going...

Prelude: This heading is pretty standard this week, and should remain so, barring some big blog changes, which I don't foresee. Week 2 Recap and Lessons Learned : I think this section was a nice little addition to week 2's MegaBlog, but it's really as much about forum participation as...

Prelude: The NFL Week One Blog led to a ton of great notes, analyses of public perception, winners, and discussion. But that was just the beginning. Moving forward, I'd like to try to continue to put together a comprehensive NFL blog breaking down every single game, much the way I have done with...

Don't be so quick to pick a QB for week 1. With a handful of teams squaring off against great (if not violent) defenses, it's always important to try to squeeze those extra 2-3 points out of the QB spot, since you never know when your week might come down to just that. Sure, there are...