Ups and Downs: NBA RoundUp for 1/18

Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
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Ups and Downs: NBA RoundUp for 1/18

Opener:

Those of you that were part of the MLK Day blog, thank you! It was a damn fine time, we nailed 5 of 6 free plays (to make the afternoon even a little better), and we churned out one of the biggest NBA blogs since I've been at Pregame.

You also are among the few aware that the "Recap and Promo" sections are being eliminated from the blogs to help streamline my operation. It allows me to post the blog when I'm done (instead of waiting for games to end), and if any of you is truly interested in my wares, you all know my Pro Page is DanBebe.com.

I'll keep reminding everyone of this change throughout the week, but starting in a few days, this "Opener" section will be populated by random NBA musings - the type of idiotic thoughts that pop into my head while I watch a game, and the type of asinine humor that I know you'll all enjoy as much as I do.

Sports Wagering: NBA

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat with a total of N/A;
I don't really like the spot either team is in, though my hesitance to back Miami is scheduling and situational, and my reticence on Atlanta is just simply that they're not playing much defense. Is the Atlanta comeback against the lowly Kings a sign of better things to come? Possibly. Is the revenge factor coming into play in some small fashion? That's also possible. I'm just not completely sold on any of our normal "factors" being a big deal for an Atlanta team that seems convinced, suddenly, that they can take care of business with just offense. Miami, meanwhile, is coming home for the first time off a 5-game road trip. The one advantage the Heat have over most teams coming home from a long roadie is that they have sort of worked their way across the nation, playing in Los Angeles, Denver, and Chicago. So, Miami is only changing one time zone, even though the travel miles are adding up. The concern for the Heat, of course, is the health of the superstars. If LeBron and Bosh are both out, I'm just not sure Wade can do it himself. I'd quote the injured star theory, but there really isn't anyone on the Heat bench that can "step up" and take on a bigger role. Injuries will absolutely be a factor in this contest, but given what we know now, very early, I lean to the HAWKS if the number is high enough, and the OVER.

Charlotte Bobcats @ Chicago Bulls (-7) with a total of 184;
It's a damn shame we didn't know the Bobcats would lose in OT, because this line is on its way up, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it "re-open" in the morning even higher than it sits now. And the worst part (or maybe it's the best part) is that I still want to find a way to back Chicago, even laying some pretty hefty chalk. The Bulls are a strikingly good home team, and Charlotte just laid a beating on Chicago only a few short days ago. The Bulls are showing signs of ratcheting up that defense again, and even though maybe they played a bit over their heads in game one without Carlos Boozer, we've seen plenty of times that Derrick Rose is a machine, and he can take care of business with or without his partner in crime. Hell, I happen to think Taj Gibson is actually a better defender than Boozer. Yes, Rose will have to carry almost the entire offensive load, but I can't see Charlotte doing much in the way of scoring. Put all that mess together, and I'm looking at the BULLS and the UNDER.
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  • Shoulda played that one instead, Z!  I think it may be time to increase volume a little, since I keep eliminating the best leans just cuz...

  • Dan

    Just wanted to stop in and say great job as always!  You helped me confirm my play on the Bulls under.  Thanks for all your help even though you may not know it sometimes.  You are the man! Grind On!

  • I had the hawks and the over... Yeah that bet was done when they combined for a whopping 30 in the first quarter

  • i know sween. of all the days for me not to back a team coming off a long roadie w/ the other on a b2b. i was just so mad after yesterday i didn't want to do anything today.

  • Sleep is for girls and dead guys

    :)

  • This heat game is one of the worst offensive games I've ever watched

  • Wow, another 13-game card tomorrow!

    Going to have to shorten the writeups just a hair if I expect to actually get any sleep tonight!

  • Hahaha, maybe the smartest thing I've heard all month, Jbiz!

  • No need to apologize. Your writeups are a gift onto themselves and you are more then generous with info.

    I however have the LOCK OF THE MILLENNIUM tonight.....

    10000000% guaranteed to NOT LOSE!!!!!!!!

    I'm passing on all games and spending the evening capping tomorrows NBA card :)

  • hey guys -- just getting back from a full day out!

    Sorry I didn't get to the questions in time!

  • local bookie offers me this:

    Deng 17.5 points and Horford 16.5 points.

    I like OVER on both of them. Chicago w/o Boozer, so Deng has to show what he has (like last night) and PF/C  players plays very good against Miami. Horford scored 22 points with 10/11 FG in last game 12.4.10 .

    Dan Bebe do you agree with me on these two predictions? thanks!

  • GL today Bebeites.

  • As a Chicago fan since the 90s, I'm really concerned about them in this spot. Both teams on the 2nd half of a b2b and Chicago without Booze.

    They have not done well against these bigger numbers and Tyrus is always plays like a man possessed vs Chicago. Not to mention MJ will be sitting at the end of the CHA bench adding another motivational factor.

    My feeling is if Korver and Deng will be the determining factors. Korver has been in a slump. I think we find out tonight if he's out of it.

    My prediction is 87-81 Bulls. A pass for me, but good luck for those with money in play tonight!

  • looks like le bron and wade will play. have to lean chicago in the other game, bobcats beat them on the 12th of January some how, so slight revenge and then the bobcats played an ot game yesterday.