LeBron's Homecoming: NBA RoundUp for 12/2

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LeBron's Homecoming: NBA RoundUp for 12/2

Wednesday Recap: December kicks off with a generous profit, going 2-1, with the only loss being on the ultra-small Free play on Atlanta. We cashed the 2* on Utah thanks to the altitude, and we nailed the 1* on the Clippers, who not only covered, but drugged the Spurs into some sort of coma, and beat them. A profit of just a shade under 3 units. Headed back for a play on the late game, tonight, and absolutely, positively, planning on watching the early game from start to finish, too!

Today:

Audio Feature: The last couple weeks we featured the likes of our NBA Season Preview Podcast, the home base of podcasting, PregamePodcasts.com, and even the College Football Weekly Show (with guest Pro, Sac Lawson).

This week it's time to point our earphones towards the NFL Weekly MegaCast, the biggest podcast in the history of Pregame. Are you missing out?

Pro Features: Things were rolling when the profile focused on the Weekly Package, so we'll go back to that. Last week was all bad luck. It's cheap, it's relatively short term commitment, it's the 7-day package!

And, of course, the daily package -- just one play on the TNT slate that I like enough to dunk my cookie!

Now, read the damn blog...

Sports Wagering: NBA

Miami Heat (-6.5) @ Cleveland Cavaliers with a total of 191.5;
There's very little I can write that everyone isn't already thinking. And I went back and forth in my mind trying to decide if a long writeup was really worth the time on this one. And the answer is "not really." Everyone already knows LeBron is coming back to Cleveland, and that the arena has hired additional security for the evening. Most know that Dan Gilbert has officially launched his own probe into potential tampering. Most also know that LeBron and his "friends" have begun the coup against Erik Spoelstra, and they also know that the other Heat veterans are falling in line like a bunch of wimps. Good times. This is going to be the Cavaliers strongest effort of the entire season, there's no doubt about that, but will they try too hard? I believe there's going to be a conscious effort to keep this game nice and clean, so while I originally had a nice lean to the Under, I'm starting to think that the refs will get a friendly call from the league office reminding them that if anything gets even the slightest bit out of control, the arena might lose it. That means, in my estimation, the best possible bet in this game is an Over, though not necessarily for the entire contest. The 4th quarter has a strong chance of being painfully slow, but if guys get running and bodies collide at any point in the first 3 quadrants, I think we'll hear some whistles. There is also the concern that the teams get off to slow starts because of the pressure and environment, but somehow I don't think that happens. This line has rocketed down off the opening number, so at 6.5, someone sure thought the Cavs were the value play. At the current line, it's a bit tougher. I'd be inclined to recommend a PASS on the side, and a small consideration of the OVER on the total.

Phoenix Suns (-1) @ Golden State Warriors with a total of 227;
These games are always insane track meets. If you like seeing humans fly, you'll enjoy this one. If you like playoff-caliber basketball, you might want to skip it. This total of 227, amazingly, is lower than any of the 4 meetings in 2009-10. Those contests were mostly hovering near 233, with an outlying 242 in the season's final meeting. And, we need to give oddsmakers some credit, those totals went 2-2 O/U. Phoenix took 2 of those 3 games, as well, straight up, but due to 3 of the 4 contests being fairly well-contested, the Warriors actually covered in 3 of the 4. And, make no mistake, Amar'e Stoudemire was a monster in the game in California that the Suns managed to steal. Otherwise, this was a series dictated by home court, and that shouldn't surprise anyone. Teams that rely on shooting, or rather, on offense, to win games, are often the same teams that have a big home/road split, because, let's face it, defense travels. This year, though, no Amar'e. In the game in Golden State where Stoudemire played poorly, the Warriors took care of business. I'm inclined we see a similar outcome, here. The Warriors can keep up with the Suns pace, and the Warriors actually have the vastly superior big men. The Suns biggest edge, outside shooting, is somewhat mitigated by the Warriors speed, and ability to convert long rebounds into easy points. So, unless Phoenix duplicates their performance in Los Angeles and cans 55 threes (exaggerated...), the Warriors should have a nice shot to grab a "W." And yes, I know the Warriors got spanked by the Spurs, but San Antonio plays outstanding defense, and Phoenix plays none. Lean to GOLDEN STATE and the OVER, though a smart man would leave a wacky total like this one alone.
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  • SAC,sink,oh you faceless one,you got some big ones!!

  • Yup Im on the system play tomorrow haha, the Lakers look like shells of themselves.

  • Wet fart,that pretty well sums it up dan.All 3 posted leans won,only the play lost,MAN.I think we did learn suns are a better team than the warriors as of right now and the foreseeable future.Might fade them tomorrow though.Big card tomorrow but I did,nt see anything that stood out yet.I certainly like n.illinois but cautious,17 points,I still think they cover,maybe even quite sure

  • Sucramento tomorrow night system play who's with me?

  • Nite sink thanks again.

  • oh well off to watch the rest of that Kennedy thing Good Night guys  GL tomorrow

  • OK WELL I LOVE NORTHERN ILLINOIS TOMORROW NIGHT i have been betting them every week they are a machine they win by 35 tomorrow

  • Nope, Monta passed to himself...second DOUBLE DRIBBLE of the half for Golden State.  You almost don't see those in 3-4 games in a row, and GS has TWO this half.

    Just one of those wet farts of a game.  Moving on!!

  • OMG NO FOUL

  • Please tell me my gametracker is lying and Monta didn't just double dribble.

  • overtime ?????????????? rootrootrootroot

  • I will send you an email in a minute uplay lets talk there

  • WOW +7 in rebounds where we thought we would have an advantage

  • I can't believe we just had a shot to cut it to 1 and missed 2 free throws, then give up 2 on the other end.

    I fear that may have been our last gasp