Yep, nail those plays, fellas!
I'll be featuring FOUR play in my NFL ALL ACCESS -- 3 early games and 1 afternoon play!
Bump and good luck today fellas!
I still think Bodog might end up at +3.5, but definitely TRACK THOSE LINE MOVES, and if the "sharp" books ALL start bringing the number off 3 in the wrong direction, that's when you gotta make a play quick
Pinnacle has San Fran at -2 now...some nice line movement for the Car +3 backers
NBA SEASON PACKAGE IS POSTED! GLORIOUS DAY!
Alright guys, lines are settling in from all the moves in the mid-week...we're getting close to weekend time, which means that more public money is going to start to trickle in starting in about 24 hours...then we can see a few half point line moves and finalize our stances.
Also, just a reminder, NBA SEASON PACKAGE IS COMING SOON! And the first NBA DAILY BLOG (which usually just turns into a live chat every night) is coming in 4 days!!
Reminder -- 1 of the NFL plays is loaded, and 2 more are typed up and just waiting out a line...going to have at least 3 plays in the package, likely 4 and MAYBE 5 if one game moves a point in our direction, but that's a little less likely.
That is correct, Blitz...same as Greek, if I'm not mistaken.
Dan, quick question..i see bookmaker referenced alot when wanting to point out a spread, on the podcasts as well... i really am not that familiar with bookmaker, is this one of the books that is considered sharp compared to most of the others??
Bookmaker back up to SF -3...
good points defaz, only reason why i won't tease the rams is because i am almost certain to be making a play on the bucs..i feel they are underrated a bit and rams overrated after their respective performances last week...lets not forget 2 weeks ago, the rams got drilled up in detroit...
quick story: im txting with a friend of mine last night and he asks me about bradford, i say he has surprised me with how well he's played and he gets into the rams/bucs and talks a little about this pool he has at work (they pick every game SU, not ATS), anyways, longer story short, this was basically one of his txts "I agree, bradford has been great for being his first year, and they even beat the chargers! The bucs got owned by the saints and the wins they have were against crap teams, this is one of the easiest games to pick of the week. I mean who have the bucs even beat? Rams got wins against the redskins and chargers!" my reply was: "thanks, lol"
agree with Dan about it not being a good teaser week because of so many 3pt lines ..i might try a 2-team 7pt to get the chiefs at 3 instead of 4....hmm and as i type, i see bookmaker is opening it at 8.5 (i do mention bookmaker because its under the line/odds page here on pregame) ..another book has posted 9.5, and then we have the one i made a refrence to that had 10...talking about the chiefs/jags game of course.....and bookmaker quickly went up to 9 and the book that was at 10 i guess took notice and went down to 9 ...so there it is..
Although what you say about public money outweighing sharp money is very true, the books often take stands on games like these. Bookmaker has dropped their line to -2.5 and I doubt they move it back to -3 despite the pressure from the public money they will receive. The game reminds me of when CIN played in CLE a few weeks ago. Despite the incredible amount of public money on the Bengals, the line moved against them all week and closed at CIN -2.
Actually, I am down to TB -3 and SD -3 as my two lead plays for Sunday. Cannot decide which one to make my strongest play. Would welcome opinions...Mr. Bebe or anyone else out there with thoughts on these games.
We mustn't forget, though, that public money OUTWEIGHS sharp money in the NFL, so you kinda have to have two completely different plans of attack for pre-gameday and on-gameday.
So are we all in on TB -3?