NBA Daily Message 01/02 Card + DOUBLE DIME PLAY

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NBA Daily Message 01/02 Card + DOUBLE DIME PLAY

 

NBA results:

NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units


NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD:  (+36.05 units)

NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD 1-2-3 MM:  (+9.78 units)


Ranked #1 NBA at Sports-Watch of LV

Ranked #2 NBA in Net Wins at The Sports Monitor of OK


NBA Yesterday’s recap:

3 units on CHICAGO (-13)   LOSS

3 units on UNDER NOH/WAS 186.5   WIN

3 units on OVER OKC/SA 203.5   LOSS

3 units on OKLAHOMA CITY (+6.5)   LOSS

4 units on MINNESOTA (-4)   WIN

3 units on UTAH (-7)   LOSS


Daily Message:

A bad read on the OKC/SA game was enough for us to had a losing day as we went 0-2 in that particular contest. I was stunned about the huge egg laid by the young Thunder team. I was expecting the Spurs to pick up the pace and attack the bad interior OKC defense and indeed they did by scoring 60 points in the paint & 24 fast break points. However Westbrook, Durant and Green combined to shot 12-35 from the field and the Thunder were humiliated by the Spurs.

For today we have two early games (IND/NYK & ATL/LAC) and 5 night contests. Any potential play for those 2 early games will be my free plays for today. I’ve already released one Big Play for tonight – Double Dime Play. Next update to come soon…thanks

Injury report: Rajon Rondo is doubtful; Sonny Weems and Jarred Bayless are doubtful while Bargnani is out; Dirk Nowitzki is out; Shawn Marion is doubtful; Mo Williams and Gibson are doubtful; Marcus Camby is probable and Rudy Gay is probable.

 

FREE PLAY:

 

NBA - 801 Indiana Pacers @ 802 New York Knicks

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: 214 points

ALERT: for some reason when I have an Over Play with the Knicks playing at home something unusual happens in the final quarter. I remember that I had the Over 205.5 against the Bulls in the Christmas and we were ruined by an 18-12 4th quarter score, or a 22-20 4th quarter score against the Thunder or a 15-26 4th quarter outcome against the 76ers. In all these games we should have won those plays but at the end we felt short.

Having saying this, I believe that we have some value with the Over and so I’m not going to look to the past, the present is now…

The Knicks are winless in the last 2 games and coming for this contest they have faced three great defensive teams in the last 3 contests: Orlando, Miami and Chicago. Even though Amare Stoudemire got involved in foul trouble in almost every game, the Knicks were able to put some points in the scoreboard despite facing top notched interior defensive teams.

For today their game plan will be the same as always since Amare is the center of this team: Pick up the pace and play an inside-out game with Amare and multiple perimeter shooters. So the big question for us is to know how the Pacers will approach this contest….

The Pacers are coming from a solid home win against the Wizards. They have felt tremendous problems to be effective on the offensive but when this team has faced run and gun teams they like to play in a faster pace as well. Against the Wizards they scored 21 fast break points & 58 points in the paint which is a good receipt for today’s game as once again the Knicks will be hammered down low due to their inferior size.

In my research I’ve found that Pacers’ head coach Jim O’Brien may look to have Danny Granger at the four with a combination of Brandon Rush, Paul George, and Mike Dunleavy playing the wings so the Pacers will adapt and they will play the majority of the time with a pure small lineup like the Knicks is playing right now. For us, this represents a faster pace and worst interior defense from the Pacers. This combination gave me a projected line of 214 points so I’m taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 210 @ -110 / 1.91 on The Greek

  • "ALERT: for some reason when I have an Over Play with the Knicks playing at home something unusual happens in the final quarter. I remember that I had the Over 205.5 against the Bulls in the Christmas and we were ruined by an 18-12 4th quarter score, or a 22-20 4th quarter score against the Thunder or a 15-26 4th quarter outcome against the 76ers."

    Well...we can add today's 19-15 4th quarter outcome...unbelievable!

    Final Update for today: 5 plays for tonight, good luck!

  • Free Play's detailed write up has been added (see the first post)!

  • Second Update: one play added. It's the Free Play! I've just noticed that there was a line movement in the last seconds pushing the line to 211, we still have the proper edge for a Single Dime Play!