NBA Daily Message 12/29 Card

Pregame Blogs

Pregame Blogs
Videos are just the START of the conversation. Each show has a dedicated blog post with show notes, links, and pics. Plus, the host and guests continue the conversation in the comments section!

NBA Daily Message 12/29 Card

 

NBA results:

NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units


NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD:  (+57.45 units)

NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD 1-2-3 MM:  (+18.44 units)


NBA SEASON RECORD FILE SHEET (PLEASE CLICK HERE!!!)


Ranked #1 NBA at Sports-Watch of LV

Ranked #2 NBA at National Sports Monitor

Ranked #2 NBA in Net Wins at The Sports Monitor of OK


NBA Yesterday's recap:

3 units on ORLANDO (-7)   WIN

3 units on UNDER NYK/MIA 203.5   LOSS

3 units on LA LAKERS (+3.5)   LOSS
1 units on LA LAKERS ML (+140 / 2.40)   LOSS

3 units on UNDER MIL/CHI 179.5   WIN

3 units on OVER TOR/DAL 202.5   LOSS


Daily Message:

We are coming from a 2-3 night in our "main plays", as we've lost our top play with the Lakers! We had a tough loss with the Under MIA/NYK by half a point, but I guess it was the "payback" after winning my Triple Dime Play in the previous day by half a point as well. Hopefully some of you would have been able to push or even won the bet, as the line jumped to 204 and 204.5 points later in the day. Today I'm preparing a bounce back card! We are now +57.45 units for the season and an amazing +95.05 units in this month (using a 1-2-3 units MM: +18.44un & +35.52un!). Others streaks: 19-6 L25 NBA plays & 87-49 L136 NBA plays!

For today we have a big card of 11 games to work. I'm working on the card right now, so the first update will be released soon, thanks.

Injury report: Al Horford is probable; Andris Biedrins is out; Gerald Wallace is probable; Tyrus Thomas is out; Carmelo Anthony, Al Harrington and Kenyon Martin are all out; Andre Iguodala is questionable and Andrei Kirilenko is doubtful.

 

FREE PLAY:  

 

NBA - 711 LA Lakers @ 712 New Orleans Hornets

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: 186 points

I had the Lakers last night as a Double Dime Play and it was painful to watch them being pounded with some ease by the San Antonio Spurs.

Suddenly their great offensive chemistry is gone! In the last 3 games, according to my numbers, their offensive efficiency’ numbers were 96.00, 94.06 and 89.27! In the first 28 games prior to these 3 contests there was only 3 different times that they had offensive numbers bellowing the 100-points mark! Their ball movement was terrible with a combined mark of 54-46 A/TO ratios – awful numbers for a legit “top team”!

The only thing that they have been doing so-so is their ability to grab offensive rebounds and to score in the paint. However in both these departments, the Hornets will offer a tough matchup for the Lakers…

The Hornets are the second best team in the league in cleaning up their defensive glass by grabbing 78.2% of the possible opportunities while they are the 6th best interior defensive team by allowing 37.6 points in the paint!

The Hornets are coming from a frustrating loss on the road against the Timberwolves. It was a bad physical spot for them: b2b game home-road and their defense was flat terrible for their standards. The good news is that the Hornets are a great bounce back team and it all starts with their defense! For some reason they are 10-2 “Under” after losing one game. Also playing at home is way different than playing on the road for them…literally! They are allowing 95.1ppg on the road but, at home they have the best mark in the league with 89.9ppg allowed!

The Lakers are struggling on the offensive end and they will catch a Hornets team primed for a defensive bounce back effort. This will be a typical half court game and my projected line tells us that we should have been dealing with a 186 points line. Take the Under in here as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on
711/712 Under 190.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on The Greek

 

FREE PLAY #2

 

NBA - 705 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 706 Charlotte Bobcats

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: Charlotte by 10 points

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 706 Charlotte Bobcats (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

  • Hey AG,

    I've noticed you're a 'volume' bettor, averaging about 5 plays per night.  Could you please describe your strategy/philosophy in regards to that.  Do you play every game where you see 'line-value'?  And what are some of your methods for narrowing down a play.  Thanks

  • Thanks for the free play tonight, Andre. I took Charlotte-8 about 2 min b4 tip-off and of course they ended up winning by 9

    Keep it up...

  • Final Update was already released: 8 plays for tonight! We have one more top play for tonight - a Double Dime Play! I've also released a second Free Play (posted above), good luck to all!

  • Detailed write ups for both the TD and Free Play posted (btw, you will love the TD's detailed writeup - almost 700 words). Final Update to be released soon.

  • Hey AG,

    Why the UNDER?

  • Second Update released: one play added, it's the FREE PLAY (posted above). The Final Update will be released at 6PM EST, thanks!

  • First Update released: one Play added - TRIPLE DIME PLAY! 2-0 this season on my top rated play.