NBA results:
NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units
NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD: (+26.90 units)
NBA Yesterday’s recap:
3 units on OVER SAS/ORL 198 WIN
5 units on MILWAUKEE (-2) WIN
Daily Message:
We swept the board last Thursday and our first Triple Dime Play of the
season was a winning play. Today is a “special day” featured by some
HUGE NBA games all day long. I’ve already released a top play – Double
Dime Play in the most exciting game of the regular season so far: Miami
Heat at Los Angeles Lakers! I’m working on the rest of the card right
now so we might have more plays for today. I remember that right now, we
are +26.90 units for the season! Finally, I’ve decided to create a Full
Access Daily Card, in which it will have all my plays for today and
individual packages for every game that I’ll have a play except for the
Free Play obviously, good luck.
FREE PREMIUM PLAY:
NBA - 701 Chicago Bulls @ 702 New York Knicks
***SINGLE DIME PLAY***
Projected line: 209 points
I’m taking the Over in this contest for several reasons, as according to
my lines we should have dealing with a 208/209 points line, so we have
the proper edge to make a Single Dime Play.
The matchup between these two teams features multiple positional mismatches that ultimately will favor the offensive players.
The
New York Knicks is coming from a solid home win against the Oklahoma
City Thunder that snapped a 3-game losing streak. After a tough span in
which they played 3 games in 4 days and lost all the 3 games, they had
time to rest and showed a terrific offensive showing against the Thunder
by scoring 112 points while shooting 48.8% from the field, 10-21 3pts,
scoring 52 points in the paint and more importantly dishing out 30
assists – for an impressive 71.43% a/rate%!
Into now the matchups on the Knicks offensive side…
Even
though the Chicago Bulls are right now ranked as the #3 best defensive
team in the league note that they are far from being an elite team
defending the paint:
NBA Team Defensive Efficiency
1 Boston 0.970
2 Miami 0.974
3 Chicago 0.977
4 Milwaukee 0.992
(...)
NBA Team Opponent Points in Paint per Game
1 Orlando 34.8
2 Boston 35.1
3 Indiana 35.9
(...)
15 Chicago 39.6
I
remember that Joakim Noah is out, so I expect the Bulls to have some
problems today down low. Yes, they were terrific in shutting down both
the 76ers and the Wizards in the last 2 games, but we are talking about
two teams that are in the bottom 10 in this offensive stat. In fact, the
last time the Bulls faced a dominant frontcourt player (which by the
way is a rookie called Blake Griffin) they were completely dominated by
him: 10-18 FG, 8-12 FT, 29 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists!
Plus,
the Bulls is having some problems to stop the pick n roll plays and
Noah's absence is likely to be felt in this game because of his ability
to step out and defend against New York's bread-and-butter play.
Simply
put, Carlos Boozer can’t defend this play against Stoudemire! Last
season against the Jazz, Stoudemire averaged 27.5ppg while shooting
61.4% from the field! Put Kurt Thomas in front of Stat and he will drive
to the rim every time just to explore his superior speed and
explosiveness, so in my opinion the Knicks have a tremendous mismatch in
here. The only way for the Bulls to slow him down is to send double team
on him - this will open the floor and the Knicks are pretty damn good
in the inside-outside game.
On the other end, the Bulls have a tremendous matchup advantage with…Carlos Boozer!
One
of the biggest reasons for the recent Knicks improvement was the
D’Antoni decision in playing small ball with Stoudemire along with 4
perimeter players (Felton, Chandler, Gallinari and Fields).
Offensively
the team is really efficient, but on the defensive end they are flat
terrible: They are the 3rd worst team in the league in allowing points
in the paint with 47.2ppg!
I don’t think that Boozer will be
guarded by Stoudemire today just because of the danger of foul trouble,
so we will see either Fields or Gallo guarding him… and good luck for
them! Boozer is just coming from his best game of the season against the
Wizards: 11-18 FG for 30 points!
Even when the Knicks faced slow
paced teams like the Celtics or the Heat, those games were basically
run and gun games and for today I don’t expect anything else. In fact,
I’m counting with the Bulls using a small lineup with Boozer as center
and Deng as PF.
The last time these two teams met, the Knicks won
the game in a shootout 120-114. I can guarantee that the Knicks won’t
hit today 16-24 behind the arc, but I can also guarantee that Amare
Stoudemire won’t finish the game w/5-21 FG and 14 points like he
finished in that game! Plus, Carlos Boozer didn’t play that game and
Noah was on the court – the Knicks scored only 36 points in the paint.
Take the Over in here as my Single Dime Play.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 205.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker