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    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
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NBA Daily Message Card 12/23 + Free Premium Play

 

NBA results:

NBA 2006-07: +94.62 units
NBA 2007-08: +144.07 units
NBA 2008-09: +22.77 units
NBA 2009-10: +98.36 units


NBA 2010/11 SEASON RECORD:  (+19.20 units)


NBA Yesterday's recap:

3 units on DETROIT (+5)   WIN

3 units on OVER CHI/WAS 194   LOSS

3 units on CHICAGO (-3)   WIN

3 units on OVER CLE/ATL 191   LOSS

3 units on OVER OKC/NYK 216.5   LOSS

3 units on OVER UTA/MIN 208 WIN

3 units on UNDER DEN/SAS 212   PUSH

3 units on OVER HOU/LAC 206   LOSS


Daily Message:

 Last night it was a tough one for me to swallow due to my struggles on the totals plays. On the sides plays we were a perfect 2-0, but just 1-4-1 on the totals. Some games turned into one sided blowout wins and the last quarter was just a mere trash quarter played by the second units, that's why we lost the "Over" plays with CLE/ATL & OKC/NYK. Well, we have to move on and for tonight I have my biggest play of the season so far! It is a rare Triple Dime Play!! I remember that we are now +19.20 units for the season!  Final Update: 2 plays for tonight.

 

FREE PREMIUM PLAY:

 

NBA - 701 San Antonio Spurs @ 702 Orlando Magic

***SINGLE DIME PLAY***

Projected line: 202 points

In the recent past, a game between the Spurs and the Magic with a line of 198 points would be almost impossible to happen due to the defensive prowerness of these two teams. However we are dealing with two different teams right now and in my opinion we should be dealing with a line in the 200’s points.

The Spurs are coming from a nice but tough home win against the Nuggets. I had the Under in that game in which ended being a “push” and I must admit that we had some lucky with the play. The Nuggets were shooting 57.4% from the field after three quarters when Greg Popovich decided to use a zone defense that worked brilliantly! The Nuggets missed 17 of their first 20 shots in the fourth quarter and were shut out for nearly five minutes! Besides that, it was another demonstration of how efficient the Spurs’ offense is this season! I’ve just checked their season numbers and right now their offensive efficiency numbers are higher than for example any regular season numbers of the great Phoenix Suns teams with Mike D’Antoni!

For tonight, they have to play a back to back game in Orlando, but this isn’t problematic for them. They already had two similar spots (b2b games on the road being the underdogs) and in these two games they scored 117 points against Oklahoma City and 113 points against the Nuggets last week. They have a terrific ball movement and multiple offensive threats all over the floor!

On the other end, the Orlando Magic is still a working in progress project after all the trades they have made. However I must confess that I liked what I’ve saw against the Mavericks in the last game even though it was a great defensive team and they were in a terrible spot (b2b games @ Atlanta – Home vs. Dallas).

They ended the game with 22 assists, which isn’t a huge number for a professional NBA team, but if we take in account that the Magic had 11, 9, 14, 18, 17, 20, 19 and 15 assists in their last games, we can agree that it was a nice number for them. They also scored 42 points in the paint against one of the best interior defensive teams! Also their 3 newest players (Hedo Turkoglu, Jason Richardson and Gilbert Arenas) combined to shot only 7-30 FG, so there is some room for improvement tonight.

I’ve saw that game and in some point of the game the Mavericks used a zone defense similar to what the Spurs did last night and eventually will use tonight and the Magic reacted pretty well by attacking the rim. If Popovich decides to use this defensive scheme I expect the Magic to react pretty well and torch them with Dwight Howard.

With the Spurs playing with a small lineup mostly of the time I expect Howard to have a huge edge down the post. He has been a beast in the last games and already against the Spurs this season he finished the game with 26 points and 18 rebounds.

My projected line for this contest is 202 points and in my opinion we have the proper edge to make a Single Dime Play with the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701/702 Over 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Good Luck

Topics: Free Pick NBA

My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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