As always my first plays of any sports is for free, good luck!
DETROIT (0 - 1) at TORONTO (1 - 0)
Tuesday, 4/7/2009 7:07 PM EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. DAVID PURCEY (L)
Last night the Blue
Jays pounded the Tigers 12-5 and once again ace Roy Halladay showed why
he is one of the best pitchers of the league and there was a huge
mismatch between the pitchers. I think that we have another mismatch
tonight but the wrong pitcher is favored tonight.
David Purcey is coming from an inconsistent rookie season finishing
with 58 strikeouts and 29 walks over 65 innings in 12 starts. Naturally
it is expected that Purcey continues his development this season and in
this spring season he had a stellar 1.54 ERA in 23 1/3 innings. However
he ended with a lowly 13/10 K/BB ratio and for me this is the most
relevant factor. Note that the Tigers have a potent offense and if
there is one positive fact from the last season debacle is that the
Tigers finished with a positive record against Left Handed Pitchers
25-22 with 5.2 runs/game, much better than the 71-86 total record.
Meanwhile for the Tigers RHP Edwin Jackson will start for the first
time for the Tigers. Jackson is coming from a strong Spring Training by
allowing a mere .176 average to opponents, amounting to 12 hits over 20
innings and in the last exhibition he beat the Blue Jays by allowing
just one run over seven innings. Due to fact that Jackson played for
the Rays last season he made 4 starts against the Blue Jays and 2-1
allowing nine earned runs over 24 1/3 innings. At Rogers Centre,
however, he has never lost in five career starts, striking out 28
batters over 33 1/3 innings.
I understand that the Blue Jays are with momentum and they are
coming from an impressive offensive performance last night but I
believe that we have a mismatch for this contest and we have a great
value as the best pitcher is the underdog tonight. Take the Tigers
tonight.
Regular Play on Detroit
ML +103
SEATTLE (1 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1)
Tuesday, 4/7/2009 8:10 PM ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
Last night the Mariners beat Minny in the first
game of the season and the game ended with 7 runs scored. Note that the
total line was 7.5 runs and for this contest we are dealing with 8 runs
which is in my opinion a clear underrated line.
Felix Hernandez and Francisco Liriano probably still can't generate the
buzz around them but they are two of the best young pitchers of this
league and last night both aces made a terrific job. The problem is
that today pitchers are a step behind them and I don't think such
domination will happen tonight.
Nick Blackburn made a reasonable rookie season including a quality
start in the last game of the season vs the White Sox but for this
season Blackburn is trying to building back up after missing time with
a sore left knee so I don't expect him to perform at their best and the
Mariners lineup already showed last night that they can make some
damage.
Meanwhile the Mariners send to the mound southpaw Erik Bedard who
struggled in the spring training and he is dealing with problems to
command his pitches. I expect the Twins to take advantage from it as
facing Bedard is not the same thing that facing King Hernandez.
Remember that the Twins had a good record of 33-20 Over against
left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons and Bedard seems to
struggle vs Minny as he is 0-5 when starting against Minny an ERA of
4.84 and a WHIP of 1.783.
Saying that I think that 8 runs is a pretty achievable line for us as
both pitchers aren't right now on the best of their forms and that's
why I'm taking the over in here.
Regular Play on Over 8 runs