Yesterday we had another winning day, as we went 3-1 for the night and we also hit our Double Dime Play! We missed a sweep by just one point with Boston.
For today, I will be releasing another Double Dime Play. Also I'm offering a free pick to the community. Here it is:
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets
This is hands down the best game of the night. The Spurs have the best spot for
this contest, as they are rested and they will want to make a bounce back after
losing at home against the Lakers. Meanwhile, the Rockets had a tough game last
night in Charlotte and with this game being a back to back game maybe, they will
have some disadvantage in terms of fatigue, but I don't think this factor will
be crucial. In fact, last night none of the Rockets' players logged more than 38
minutes, as Rick Adelman surely knows that the Rockets have an important game
tonight.
My analysis of this game is more about the acknowledge that I
have of these two teams than properly by evaluating the trends or the spots. The
Spurs are struggling defensively against top teams. I'm not saying that they are
a bad defensive team (they are pretty good in fact), but they aren't clearly the
"old Spurs" anymore. Note that the Lakers scored 102 points last Thursday and
the Spurs' last 2 games where they played on the road against top teams, they
allowed 102 points to Portland and 107 points to Dallas. They have also huge
problems in scoring down the post and Tim Duncan is their only reliable scorer
and he is being slowed down by an injury. Do you know that the Spurs are the
second worst team of the league in terms of points in the paint with only 34.1
ppg!? In their last game against the Lakers, they were outscored in the paint by
24-42! Yao Ming and Luis Scola are playing a stellar basketball lately and the
Rockets will have a tremendous edge inside the paint tonight.
The Rockets
are 12-6 (6-2 L8) ATS in back to back games. Since the all star break, they have
only lost at home against the Lakers, in a game that Kobe Bryant was simply
unstoppable in the fourth quarter. The Spurs (and the rest of the league) don't
have any clutch player like Bryant and surely Tony Parker will have their hands
full with Artest or Battier. I think that the Rockets at home shouldn't be such
a short favorite and that's why I'm taking them in here.
Single Dime Play on Houston Rockets (-2.5) Note: Me and my clients took -1, as we took it before of the line movement.
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Good Luck!