This is going to be an emotional game for Chauncey Billups and the Pistons as Billups will make his first game as a Pistons' opponent tonight at the Palace. Detroit suddenly started winning and made it with great style by beating Orlando and Boston on the road. Allen Iverson didn't play in those games and the Pistons had a better team chemistry and Richard Hamilton played great as a starter.

The Nuggets meanwhile is coming from a disappointing loss in Indiana having a letdown after a big win against the Lakers. Their offense was horrible in that game shooting only 36.2 % from the field. For this game Carmelo Anthony won't play tonight and the Nuggets without him are a better defensive team. In fact, the Nuggets are 10-5 Under without Carmelo in this season, these are relevant numbers as the Nuggets are 31-29 Over in the season. I think we will se a low scoring game in here. Billups will control the tempo of the game and naturally he is fired up to make a great game. The Nuggets can play some defense in tough games, just look for the outcome of the latest "physical games" of the Nuggets: LAL 90-79; BOS 76-114; @ PHI 101-89; @ORL 82-73; @ MIA 99-82. All these games finished well bellow the total line and this game won't be different.

The Pistons scored 105 points in Boston last game which is a great number; however they went 34-40 for the charity stripe. 40 free throws attempts aren't normal numbers for the Pistons as they averaged only 22.6 FT/games in this season so I don't expect such numbers for tonight and I don't expect as well them to reach the 100's points tonight, remember that the Under is 6-2 in Pistons last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. This is also the first home game after their longest road trip of the season and usually the teams became rusty in the first home game. The Pistons are a good example as the Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Both teams already faced each other in Denver and the Pistons won 93-90. I expect similar numbers for tonight and my fair line for this game is 186/187 points. Take the Under in here.

Regular Play on Under 189 (You can find 190 points right now for an extra point)

 We had another winning night for the 6th time in a row and today we'll looking to finish a golden week with profit in every day.

For today I have three plays. Good Luck

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