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    09/07/2011 9:56 PM
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Andre Gomes NBA Saturday Free Pick

Hi Pregame community!

We are releasing the writeups later than usual, but everything is updated now.

Today we have three picks and finally we are bouncing back big time, with a 9-1 run in our last 10 NBA Plays!

Here it is the usual free pick:


NBA - Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers

I consider that this play have some risk associated, as the Jazz are an unpredictable team lately and it's hard to find out their approach for tonight's game. However, one thing we can be sure about it is the fact that this game will be a tough and physical game.

The Jazz already beat twice the Blazers on this season, so this is a huge revenge game for the home. In those contests the media said that the Blazers were too soft and the Jazz outmuscled them, sp the Blazers will make sure that this doesn't happen tonight. Just look to some statements of the Blazers staff:

"Jerry Sloan doesn't care if he's playing girls, if you step out there on the court, he is going to abuse you," Roy said. "They just play extremely hard. The thing with us is we have to match that. Every time we match it, we do pretty well against them. It's when we play soft when we struggle."

That's why Blazers coach Nate McMillan after Friday's practice wanted to talk more about his team's physical play than about the importance of tonight's game. McMillan has a deep respect for Sloan and he has been imploring his Blazers to adopt more of the defensive principles used by the Jazz.

"We are starting to see our guys get a little closer, and touch a little bit more, but I would like to see more touching, more contact than we have seen in the last few games," McMillan said.

Well, the Blazers are playing a stellar defense lately. In the last 10 games they are the best defense of the league by allowing just 87.6 ppg and obligating the opponents to commit 16.0 TO/game! The key reason is the great moment of rookie Greg Odon who is playing great "D" down the paint and intimidating the opponent's big men. In fact, the Blazers are the 20th best team in points in the paint allowed, but in the last 10 games, they are the third best team only trailing the Celtics and the Magic. What an improvement! This is important for this game because the Jazz have an offensive system that relies on the constant attack of the basket.

The Jazz are playing a poorly defense, as the Over is 7-3 L10 games and is not a mere coincidence that in the same span they are 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS. It is in here that this pick could be in danger, however it is this risk that give us an extraordinary line for this foe. I believe that the Jazz will play tough and physical like the Blazers and we must not forget that the Under is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 against a team with a winning record.

Portland is 25-11 Under revenging a same season loss against an opponent over the last 2 seasons and definitely this is a revenge game for them. They are also 12-4  Under in their last 16 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and I expect a game where probably only the winner will reach the century mark points. Take the under in here.

PLAY 1* UNIT ON Under 200

 

CLICK HERE to get my NBA SATURDAY *3-PLAYS* CARD!

 

Good Luck Yes

 


My name is André Gomes, I’m from Portugal and I am a Professional Handicapper. My sole purpose is to constantly beat the sportsbooks by taking advantage of the evaluation errors they make. It is most... Read more

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