I like a play for tonight: 
TORONTO at TAMPA BAY
If there are teams who may have been helped by the All Star break,
certainly one of these teams was Tampa Bay. The Rays even leaded their
division and they were one of the strongest teams in the league a
couple of weeks ago, but they lost all their last seven games before
the All Star break, so this stop was great for the team. Today they
will face Toronto, which has been well lately, but they have been
playing at home in their last games. Today they will send to the pitch
the right hander Burnett, who is 4.96 ERA and 10-8 this season. It's
curious to see that this will be the second game in a row for him, as
he played in the last game of the team before the All Star break
against the Yankees. Burnett has an away record of 4.34 ERA and 3-5 and
recently he hasn't been fortunate against the Rays, as even though he
is 6-3 against Tampa Bay, his last three games against the Rays were
losses for his team.
Fortunately for Tampa Bay they play at home, where they have been
very strong. The team is 36-14 at home, but when the games against
right pitchers, these numbers are even better: 28-9 with 4.9 runs per
game and when these games are at night, the numbers go to 22-6! Today
the Rays will send the pitch the also right hander Shields (3.86 ERA
7-6), who was also a victim of a slump that hit the whole team, as in
his last game at Cleveland, he allowed 10 hits and 5 runs in 6 innings.
Today a normal bounce back by him is expected, as he has been very well
at home with a record of 5-1 with 2.13 ERA. Curiously in his career he
is 3-0 2.70 ERA against Toronto. The team of Tampa Bay has been
dominating Toronto this season, having won 5 of the 6 games played
between the two teams. The team is 23-6 against the money line as a
home favorite of -125 to -175 this season and 14-2 against the money
line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. I expect a
comfortable win of Tampa Bay today to get away of the slump they
suffered before the All Star break. Take Tampa Bay RL in here.
Pick: 1* Unit on RL -1.5 TAMPA BAY
Good Luck