With the NFL preseason kicking things off today...I'm starting Part II of my Quest to Beat the Books. Can't think of a better way to start it off than with a 2-0 day!
I had no clue when I wrote the Bills/Titans profile how right my last sentence would turn out to be...
Boston at NY Yankees 8:00pm EST
Selection: UNDER 9.5 RUNS (W)
Profile: Neither of these teams have hit very well over the last two days, and the Red Sox offense has really struggled on the road this season. They got shutout again yesterday for the second straight game. Andy Pettitte comes into this game in great current form, especially his strikeout to walk ratio. He has posted a 29/7 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 4 games, including averaging only 1 base runner per inning in those starts as well. Meanwhile, Jon Lester has absolutely dominated the Yankees in his career, and I look for him to step up here in this crucial game. The Red Sox cannot afford to get swept by the Yankees, and I expect him to bring his absolute best effort. This line is inflated based on the perceived notion that each team is very high scoring, and the first game of this series caused inflated totals as well. Look for this game to fall under the total, but make sure you get it at 9.5 and not 9 runs.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Buffalo vs. Tennessee 8:00pm EST
Selection: TENNESSEE -2.5 (W)
Profile: Jeff Fisher has stated that his team will be competitive in this game, and he emphasized the word will. Meanwhile, Dick Jauron said that his team is dealing with several injuries, which they are, and will have to adjust accordingly. Buffalo is really banged up in this game, especially at the offensive line, which is a group that will need serious work anyway this preseason. Buffalo is also implementing a new no huddle style of offense, so it will be a work in progress for the first few games. The Bills do not have a good quarterback rotation past Trent Edwards. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Gibran Hamdan are the two back-ups seeing most of the action tonight. Meanwhile, the Titans rotation is better with Vince Young and Patrick Ramsay. Young is expected to see extensive action in this game into the second half. He will no doubt be determined to play well and put points on the board. I really like Fisher's quotes, as he made it be known that his team wants this game and is focused. Buffalo is more banged up and implementing a new offense, which will be difficult for a very young and inexperienced line to adjust to right away. Young will be focused, and Tennessee has more depth overall at each position. It is absolutely critical to this line at -2.5, so either shop around or buy an extra half point.
2 UNIT SELECTION
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2011 Big Ten CFB Plays: 7-2 (78%), +7.1
2010-11 Big Ten CBB Plays: 11-9 (55%), +5.2
All 3* Plays: 7-2 (78%) +14.4
TiSB CBB Plays: 19-11 (63%) 7-4 PODs
--Including PLAY of 2010 NCAA TOURNEY on MSU over UNI
Betting Dork Big Ten CFB Plays: 23-12 (66%) 8-4 PODs
"For those that haven't been around, Sam has been a consistent winner across all sports during his time at Pregame. But is known as a College Hoops expert. Upper echelon work, and I don't endorse just anybody." - Sac Lawson
Nice man, you seem to be a very solid handicapper from the your stuff that I've seen so far. The key is just keeping it going long-term.
Nice sweep tonight Evan, good stuff.
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Evan AltemusNice man, you seem to be a very solid handicapper from the your stuff that I've seen so far.� The key is just keeping it going long-term.
Nice man, you seem to be a very solid handicapper from the your stuff that I've seen so far.� The key is just keeping it going long-term.
Thanks Goodfella, appreciate it man. Sam, yeah but just make sure you keep posting and capping even if you're in a losing streak. Keeping with it long-term through the ups and downs is the hardest part. Good luck to you too during football season.
Today the only premium selection I have is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK, a 3 unit selection. I went 5-1 last week with my biggest baseball plays, including posting a profit of +18.9 units in the last 6 days.
I will post my analysis of some of the other baseball games today later this afternoon. Since I only have one premium selection today, I can't offer a free selection. Hopefully this makes you guys realize that I only offer free selections that are premium plays, and I'm not going to just throw a bad play out there as a freebie.
Good luck to everyone today!
Very nice week, Evan. I hope you continue the impressive run you are on.
Tribute to those who have left PG: Simon, Dan "the Baby-Faced Legend" Bebe. Welcome back Straguzzi.
2011 CBB: 19-12 +7.3 units ROI = 20.4% 1.5 unit plays: 1-0 2 unit plays: 1-0, CFB 2011 4-10 -8.15 units, 2 unit plays: 1-0
2012-13 CBB: 2-4-1 -2.4 units
DanBebe.com - Home of All Things BebeLISTEN: "Today in Sports Betting" Podcast (Updated Daily)Read Up - Dan Bebe's Blog Archives
Final Season Records (Weighted to 2-Units per Play)2008-09 NBA Record: 49-35-3 (+10.50, Avg Bet Size = 1.00; Wtd Total = +21.00)2009 MLB Record: 161-143-4 (+6.54, Avg Bet Size = 1.01; Wtd Total = +12.95)2009-10 NFL Record: 19-12-1 (+6.90, Avg Bet Size = 0.97; Wtd Total = +14.23)2009-10 NBA Record: 174-148-6 (+12.84, Avg Bet Size = 1.09; Wtd Total = +23.56)2010 MLB Record: 132-143 (-18.71, Avg Bet Size = 1.34; Wtd Total = -27.93)2010 CFB Record: 27-21-3 (+12.25, Avg Bet Size = 1.39; Wtd Total = +17.66)2010 NFL Reg. Season: 33-36-1 (+1.70, Avg Bet Size = 1.32; Wtd Total = +2.24)
1st Place in 2009 Pregame Fantasy Football League3rd Place in 2010 Pregame Fantasy Baseball League