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WILDCARD ROUND and SAGARIN'S STRENGTH of SCHEDULE

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Thread Starter WILDCARD ROUND and SAGARIN'S STRENGTH of SCHEDULE
shivaseven
Joined: 11/29/2011
Posts: 633
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Here is a system that I've read about, but can't say I've made any bets using it.  It's quite simple - rank the teams with regard to schedule strength from 1st (most difficult) to 32nd (easiest) and bet on the team in the wildcard round that played the more difficult schedule. This system has produced a SUP and ATS mark of 32-12 since 2002. Let's look at this years wildcard teams and their scheduling strength based on sagarin's ratings.

SFR  [06]
NOR [08]
IND   [11]
SDG [19]
KCY [26]
CIN  [27]
PHI  [28]
GBY [30]

The ratings call for plays on SFR, NOR, IND, and SDG. Now let's add one more level of sophistication to this system - only bet on teams that are ranked 10 or more spot higher than their wc opponent. Voila - now we have an ATS and SUP 20-3 record. You can take a quick glance at the teams in this year's wc round and it calls for strong plays on SFR, who are slotted 24 positions higher than GBY; and NOR, who are slotted 20 positions higher than PHI; and IND, who is slotted 16 positions higher than KCY.

Okay for you dog bettors let's take a look at some numbers for betting on dogs in the wc round.  If you played any dog with a higher S.O.S. in this round you would be SUP 11-8 and ATS 14-5 and even better if you can find dogs that have S.O.S. of 10 or more better than their opponent (NOR) they are SUP 7-3 and ATS 8-2.

Good luck going forward and any feedback  appreciated

shivaseven
Joined: 11/29/2011
Posts: 633
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Just one note about the above numbers. I found this information on line so do your own 'do diligence' before betting this or any other system.

philmustang
Joined: 01/06/2013
Posts: 1799
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Good stuff shiva seven, will look into it. Thanks.

Griff
Joined: 08/20/2009
Posts: 23084
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Good stuff, I like the Saints & 49ers this weekend...GET MONEY!!!

"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"

joni944
Joined: 11/28/2013
Posts: 58
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interesting stuff

patman66
Joined: 10/20/2011
Posts: 1764
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Love SF,feel its the best bet of weekend.No on N.O....dont like dome teams in the northeast.Saints D will have alot of trouble with Philly running game...Drew Brees and his little hands will have a hard time with 20 degree climate..

Indian Tracker
Joined: 07/22/2011
Posts: 94
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Good info and calls on the games. Helped me make some money yesterday and it is much appreciated. I like SF but lean Cincy. Hard to go against the home and away stats on the Bengals.

JasonH11
Joined: 09/16/2012
Posts: 1291
Professional
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Well I went against one of the strong plays and sided with Marco in taking Philly.  Ended up splitting yesterday. I'll be on SF not sure yet about the early game.  Has this been evaluated in the divisional round?

JasonH11
Joined: 09/16/2012
Posts: 1291
Professional
Top 500 Contributor

ok so this was 4-0 this weekend. How does this stack up next week?

Indian Tracker
Joined: 07/22/2011
Posts: 94
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Please post the results of this for the next round a sweep is a good thing

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