Had an 11-4-1 week last week in the NFL, but started this week 0-2. Let's get it back today.
Will Have night Play(s) a bit later.
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAYS
POWER ANGLE PLAY
PHILADELPHIA -3 over Atlanta: This is a really good spot for them to get back on track. I feel the change on defense will energize this group a bit. Philly hasn’t been too bad defensively but they have blown some 4th quarter leads and that is the main reason for the change. Atlanta can’t run the ball (28th) and that should allow this very talented Eagle secondary to clamp down on a very good Atlanta passing game. Really the Falcons havn’t faced a good defense this year and I expect them to have a tough time moving the ball on this Eagles defense that has had a week to get used to the schemes that Todd Bowles will employ. Another advantage there is that the Eagles knowq what they will run, but Atlanta has no clue what’s coming. On offense the Eagles should be able to move the ball and I feel that after the Bye they will start to cut down on their mistakes. The Atlanta defense has been poor vs the run (143 ypg, 5.2 ypc) and that should allow Vick and McCoy do some damage, which will then open up the throwing lanes for this talent WR corps to get some big plays downfield. Andy Reid has worked some magic after a Bye and I feel he will do so again hrere. Atlanta loses first game of the year in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any home favorite if both teams are off a Bye week. Teams in this spot are 15-3 ATS since 2001 and have outscored their opponents by 13 ppg.
New York Giants -2 over DALLAS: (Added) The Cowboys are not really playing good ball these days and I feel the Giants can take advantage. Dallas needs their running game to take the pressure off of Romo, but they will be missing a key part of their run game as Demarco Murray will not be available for this one. That will allow a solid Giants pass rush to harass Romo into some mistakes. The Dallas defense has been solid this year, but they have had problems with Manning at home, as Eli has thrown for 354 ypg and 8 TD's in his last 3 trips here. The Giants lost game vs Dallas this year, but they were very thin in the secondary in that game and are a bit healthier for this one. Look for the Giants to get a measure of revenge with a big win in Big D.
7 POINT TEASER--- New England Pk & Eagles/ Atlanta Under 50
3 UNIT PLAY
Philadelphia/ Atlanta Under 43: This game should be mess with a hurricane just off the coast. Lots of wind and rain and that should keep the scoring down. Also keeping the scoring is the fact that there is two pretty good defenses on the field. The Atlanta defense is 22 overall but they allow just 18.8 ppg, which is 6th in the league. The Falcons struggle vs the run (28th) and with high winds and a turnover prone QB you can bet that Reid will look run the ball at that soft run defense of the Falcons and that will eat plenty of clock. The Falcons on offense need to throw the ball, because they can't run the ball (29th in the league), but in the conditions that are expected Matt Ryan will have a problem connecting for some big plays. Atlanta will have to try and run the ball and that will also chew up some clock. This game will struggle to hit the mid 30's.
PITTSBURGH -4 over Washington: The Steelers played very good defense vs the the Cincinnati and I feel they can do it again in this one. There could be potential for bad weather in this game with high winds and that could very well slow down the Washington pass game. The Skins are the top rushing team in the league, but they are about to face the 9th ranked rushing defense of the Steelers so that run game should struggle as well. The Steelers also rank 2nd vs the pass so this Washington offense could be in for a long day. On the other side the Pittsburgh offense has been decent this year but the do struggle to run the ball (26th). They will get back Mendenhall for this one and that will help. Once the running game gets going then Big Ben should have some easy throws vs the worst ranked pass defense in the league. The Pittsburgh defense will will not allow Washington to put enough points on the board to keep this one close.
Detroit/ Seattle Under 42.5: This Detroit offense can be explosive, but this year something seems off. In the last 5 weeks the Lions have scored less than 20 points 3 times, while overall they are averaging just 22.2 ppg, which is a full TD less than they averaged last year. Now they take on a Seattle defense that is 5th in the league (287.3 ypg) overall and 3rd in scoring (15.1 ppg). This defense has played very tough this year and I feel this inconsistent Lions offense will have problems moving the ball on them. As good as the Seattle defense has been, the offense has been bad. Seattle is 31st in total offense, passing and scoring and those ranking may not get that much better as the Lions are ranked 8th in total defense. The Lions do struggle a little vs the run and that is a strength of the Seattle offense as they are 8th in the league in running the ball. This should be a low scoring tight ball as both defenses are playing better than the offenses right now.
7 POINT TEASER--- Indianapolis +10.5 & Green Bay -8
7 POINT TEASER--- New Orleans +14 & Under 62.5 (Added)
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
New England -7 over St Louis
Miami/ NY Jets Under 38
7 POINT TEASER--- San Diego +4 & Dallas/ Giants Over 41
New Orleans/ Denver Under 55.5 (Added)
1 UNIT PLAYS
San Diego -3 over CLEVELAND
GREEN BAY -14.5 over Jacksonville