PLAY ON: Kansas City +3 1/2
Iceman29 is forecasting a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 51% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Kansas City Chiefs commit fewer turnovers in 58% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jamaal Charles is averaging 72 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. C.J. Spiller is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. I have Kansas City winning by 1.
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Good Luck,
Iceman29