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NFL Vegas Rankings (9/12/12)

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Thread Starter NFL Vegas Rankings (9/12/12)
RJ_Bell
Joined: 06/21/2006
Posts: 14162
Rank NA
Top 25 Contributor

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the "experts in the desert" truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is. HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team's home field. BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team. POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup: Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team). To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup: Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

Vegas Rankings – NFL Week One

Rank

Team

Hm

TRUE

Bias

Spread

1

Patriots

3.5

100

1

101

2

49ers

3

97.5

0.5

98

t-3

Packers

4

97

0.5

97.5

t-3

Texans

3

97

0.5

97.5

t-5

Steelers

3

96.5

0.5

97

t-5

Ravens

3

96.5

0

96.5

t-7

Cowboys

3

96

0.5

96.5

t-7

Eagles

3

96

0.5

96.5

t-9

Falcons

3

95.5

0

95.5

t-9

Giants

3

95.5

0.5

96

t-11

Bears

3

95

0

95

t-11

Broncos

3

95

0.5

95.5

13

Saints

4

95

0

95

t-14

Jets

3

93.5

0

93.5

t-14

Lions

3

93.5

0

93.5

16

Chargers

2.5

93

0

93

t-17

Panthers

3

92

0

92

t-17

Redskins

3

92

0.5

92.5

t-19

Bengals

2.5

91.5

0

91.5

t-19

Seahawks

3

91.5

0

91.5

t-21

Bills

3

91

0

91

t-21

Chiefs

3

91

0

91

23

Titans

2.5

90.5

0

90.5

24

Raiders

2.5

90

0

90

25

Buccs

2.5

89.5

0

89.5

26

Cardinals

3

89

0

89

27

Rams

2.5

88.5

0

88.5

28

Vikings

3

88

0

88

29

Colts

3

87

0

87

30

Jaguars

2.5

86.5

0

86.5

31

Dolphins

2

86

-0.5

85.5

32

Browns

2.5

85

-1

84

Voters include Chris Andrews, with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience; Fezzik, the only two-time Hilton Supercontest Champion; and “Vegas Runner” – featured by CNBC for his professional betting success. RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com – Follow RJ on twitter: @RJinVegas

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UnderTheNumber
Joined: 09/12/2012
Posts: 1
Waterboy
Not Ranked

Will home field advantage remain constant throughout the season or does that adjust as well to how well a team's playing, who they are playing, etc.. etc..

GoodfellaBeau
Joined: 08/20/2011
Posts: 986
Pro Draft Prospect
Top 500 Contributor

Thanks! Great back n forth with VR in the free pick vids.

GoodfellaBeau's all time record in MLB ,NHL ,NBA
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