Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the "experts in the desert" truthfully think about the teams:
TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is. HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team's home field. BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team. POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.
To calculate the projected winner of any matchup: Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team). To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup: Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.
Vegas Rankings – NFL Week One
Rank
Team
Hm
TRUE
Bias
Spread
1
Patriots
3.5
100
101
2
49ers
3
97.5
0.5
98
t-3
Packers
4
97
Texans
t-5
Steelers
96.5
Ravens
0
t-7
Cowboys
96
Eagles
t-9
Falcons
95.5
Giants
t-11
Bears
95
Broncos
13
Saints
t-14
Jets
93.5
Lions
16
Chargers
2.5
93
t-17
Panthers
92
Redskins
92.5
t-19
Bengals
91.5
Seahawks
t-21
Bills
91
Chiefs
23
Titans
90.5
24
Raiders
90
25
Buccs
89.5
26
Cardinals
89
27
Rams
88.5
28
Vikings
88
29
Colts
87
30
Jaguars
86.5
31
Dolphins
86
-0.5
85.5
32
Browns
85
-1
84
Voters include Chris Andrews, with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience; Fezzik, the only two-time Hilton Supercontest Champion; and “Vegas Runner” – featured by CNBC for his professional betting success. RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com – Follow RJ on twitter: @RJinVegas
---RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@TwitterCalled a "True Insider" by ESPNPick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!
Will home field advantage remain constant throughout the season or does that adjust as well to how well a team's playing, who they are playing, etc.. etc..
Thanks! Great back n forth with VR in the free pick vids.