Allright fellas, the NFL Preseason has been extremely exploitable this year and with Week 4 being the toughest to handicapp..and also find value since lines will move significantly and quickly, this week is where we can all pile on some more ammo for the Regular Season..
Last Night I "uploaded" the GB Packers and LA Angels as FREE Picks into the Pregame System and the sweep made us 63% on 81 Freebies..
Truth be told, the only one's I ever "upload" are those that were the toughest to keep off the daily Premium Pass..and many times are eventually added to the card or at the very least, used for any/all exotics that day and for courtesy bets when a book I've got a good relationship with needs the wager to help limit exposure..
Myself and Marco released FREE Picks for Thursday thru Sunday NFLX match-ups that we felt were the most interesting as far as situation or will attract the most betting action..We both gave out our Best Bet and also shared our opinions for each at http://pregame.tv ..
For tonight's FREE Pick on CHIEFS..my goal is to WAIT until closer to game-time when bettors force books to possibly adjust some more since they too will be on KC..like wiseguys got down on early..At the very least, I'm hoping that the "Vig" on -3 increases so that I'm able to "Buy the 1/2 Point" up to +3.5 at a discount..
Finally, I've been able to confirm through 2 of our "mover" sources that they do have a buy-order to take-back on KC and work a middle so it's obvious the outfits they get down on are willing to lower their position for a shot at a middle..which many times is not the case when they undoubtedly have the best of it..Therefore interpret that bit of info as you see fit, but for myself it tells me they aren't as confident in the initial play as they were prior.
Also, as I mentioned on http://twitter.com/vegasrunner last night..although the move as soon as the Week 3 totals opened was to the OVER on majority of games by wiseguys, betting syndicates, etc..we saw last night and will continue to see according to some "movers" the trend of the line coming back down as middles are attempted and exposure is lessen..
Remember, almost all betting syndicates also take action..so besides as bettors wanting to get out ahead of the market which was going to bet the OVERS after Week 1 & 2 results, coupled with this being "dress rehearsal" week, they're also able to edge-off the expected one-sided action at a much better price than their clients are taking by going OVER when lines went up..
Thanks again for all your support and best of luck ahead, Vegas-Runner.
Biggest NFL Bet of 2012 Preseason Goes Tonight at http://vegasrunner.com
Currently UP over 37 Units for 2012 Football Season and 72% on 39 Premiums...13-4 (76%) NFLX RUN !!