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# Teaser Math Question- CC: LLoyd and Dr. Meyer

 Teaser Math Question- CC: LLoyd and Dr. Meyer
Joined: 11/23/2009
Posts: 270

That number just indicates that a home team that is a 6-7 point favorite wins when teased 6 points 67.1% of the time, but thats just one leg.  You square that number because both legs need to win in a teaser.

Joined: 02/26/2007
Posts: 15572

gotcha.....and going by original post teasing (6ts ) 7.5 to 8.5 HF is best  option?  57% winners for both legs hitting

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB1115042.31-550.00
CFB12033.33-120.00
MLB5561147.41313.00
NBA2420154.55195.00
NFL42166.67180.00
NHL0100.00-105.00
Joined: 11/23/2009
Posts: 270

yup, or home dogs of 1.5 to 2.5 points...Dr. Meyer's post was very enlightening as well about how the lower the total, the higher the success rate is.

what is so special about this is anyone can do this, just follow these parameters blindly.  Its just numbers, no analyzing sides.  also, the market will adjust to certain trends, effectively making them no longer of value.  Teasers, however, are tougher for the books to protect against.

Joined: 02/26/2007
Posts: 15572

if u had say 6 teams u wanted to do 2team teasers with, what is formula to determine nbr of  bets u would have

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB1115042.31-550.00
CFB12033.33-120.00
MLB5561147.41313.00
NBA2420154.55195.00
NFL42166.67180.00
NHL0100.00-105.00
Joined: 06/21/2012
Posts: 1020

Each team (6) with each other team (5) and then divide by two to prevent double counting.

So 6*5/2 = 15 different teasers.

In general, n(n-1)/2

Dr M.

Joined: 02/26/2007
Posts: 15572

thx , got 15 figuriing it the long way.....much faster that way

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB1115042.31-550.00
CFB12033.33-120.00
MLB5561147.41313.00
NBA2420154.55195.00
NFL42166.67180.00
NHL0100.00-105.00
Joined: 02/26/2007
Posts: 15572

went over last season just to see how home dogs of 1.5 to 7 would have done  adding 6....4 weeks had perfect record (100%)    one being a 6-0 week....also a 5-1  4-1  and 3-1  week.(twice).......know about moving thru 3 and 7 but these result   are pretty good teasing HD of up to 7

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB1115042.31-550.00
CFB12033.33-120.00
MLB5561147.41313.00
NBA2420154.55195.00
NFL42166.67180.00
NHL0100.00-105.00
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979

Very small sample size.  4.5-6.5 aren't as bad because at least you're grabbing 7 and 10.  Everything else is bad though.  Could be onto something with that 7 and 10 with low totals

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

Joined: 02/26/2007
Posts: 15572

4.5 to 6.5 home dogs teased six were 12-2... 7-7 with reg spread..only 4 games had totals under 40

totals 39 score 39..total..39.5  score 58....total 38  score 30...total 37  score 33

in 4 games with total under 40 teasing the side was perfect 4-0...teasing the total either way was 3-1 both ways

of course if just one game(HD +4.5 - 6.5) on weekend then cant tease two sides together

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %\$ Won
CBB1115042.31-550.00
CFB12033.33-120.00
MLB5561147.41313.00
NBA2420154.55195.00
NFL42166.67180.00
NHL0100.00-105.00
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 4979

deliveryman3

4.5 to 6.5 home dogs teased six were 12-2... 7-7 with reg spread..only 4 games had totals under 40

totals 39 score 39..total..39.5  score 58....total 38  score 30...total 37  score 33

in 4 games with total under 40 teasing the side was perfect 4-0...teasing the total either way was 3-1 both ways

of course if just one game(HD +4.5 - 6.5) on weekend then cant tease two sides together

Again, very small sample, but something to look into further

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

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