As I mentioned in my other post, I'm on Atlanta, the under and the under in the pitt game. I also have an ML parlay with both home teams.
But to me the best bet on the board is the under 51 -120 (51 is a key number so i bought up from the 50.5) in the pitt/nep game.
Much has been written and said about the massive improvements we've seen in the Steelers defensive performance since Harrison and Dupree were plugged into the starting lineup. The stats actually reflect that:
PITTSBURGH |
D Rush Att |
D Rush Yards |
D AVG |
D Pass Att |
D Pass Yds |
D YPA |
D Sacks |
D INT |
D Fumbles |
D Punts |
Games 1-9 (excluded game 7) |
23.1 |
98.0 |
4.2 |
38.9 |
285.1 |
7.3 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
5.0 |
Games 10-18 (excluded game 16) |
19.6 |
69.8 |
3.6 |
35.4 |
199.0 |
5.6 |
3.4 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
3.4 |
Difference |
84.86% |
71.17% |
83.87% |
91.00% |
69.79% |
76.70% |
207.69% |
250.00% |
133.33% |
67.50% |
But I dont think enough has been written about the Pats defensive improvement. We ALL know they played a weak schedule. That's more than been baked into the line. But what I think is important is to notice how much better that D played in the last half of the year.
The lowest rated i had the pats were #21 going into week 13 (right after the close win vs jets). Considering the level of opposition, I was so excited to play against the Pats as soon as the opportunity opened up.
But look at the massive improvements:
NEW ENGLAND |
D Rush Att |
D Rush Yards |
D AVG |
D Pass Att |
D Pass Yds |
D YPA |
D Sacks |
D INT |
D Fumbles |
D Punts |
Games 1-2, 5-11 |
23.8 |
98.5 |
4.1 |
37.8 |
263.0 |
7.0 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
4.4 |
Games 12-17 |
19.8 |
71.0 |
3.5 |
37.0 |
199.7 |
5.3 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
6.3 |
Difference |
83.51% |
72.08% |
83.55% |
98.01% |
75.92% |
76.58% |
117.65% |
458.33% |
166.67% |
143.94% |
*NOTE: I didnt count the Jacoby Brissett numbers, i can but it only enhances the point
Their run D really came to life, they absolutely shut down the pass and they started to turn other teams over a lot more.